Stock Ratings / Technology / IDAI / earnings

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T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.86 +4.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.88

T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.88 (+0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IDAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IDAI SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 41% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$3.38-19.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.71+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.72+5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.86-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IDAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IDAI currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.02) and Max Pain ($3.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IDAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IDAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.36 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IDAI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.9%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$3.1M	-$8.3M	-$5.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$3.1M	-$12.5M	-$8.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$4.6M	-$7.6M	-$7.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IDAI)

✓Walkthrough of IDAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IDAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.84H $2.95L $2.78C $2.86VOL 59.9K

RES: $4.23SUP: $2.30SMA50: $3.02SMA200: $2.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IDAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IDAI Butterfly Map → + Track IDAI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IDAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IDAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IDAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IDAI)

Technology Rank #406 of 714 ⚔️ AIFF vs IDAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IDAI vs. AIFF, VIDA, INLX, AWRE)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) ranks #406 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #620 by equity capitalization ($16.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDAI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while INLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.4% ROIC and 66.0% gross margin. VIDA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with IDAI at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IDAI ACTIVE T Stamp Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	—	-35.0%	+4.00%	$16.3M	Benchmark Subject
AIFF Firefly Neuroscience Inc.	D-	37/100	—	56.5%	-35.0%	-1.90%	$16.2M	/aiff-vs-idai →
VIDA VIDA Global Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.74%	$15.6M	/vida-vs-idai →
INLX Intellinetics Inc.	D-	39/100	—	66.0%	-12.4%	-1.89%	$18.7M	/inlx-vs-idai →
AWRE Aware Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-27.5%	-7.92%	$18.8M	/awre-vs-idai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718939

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) reported GAAP revenue of $3.1M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and -31.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.3M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (+35.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IDAI closed FY2025 with $11.2M in total assets against $1.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.1M	-$8.3M	-$5.7M	-$5.7M	$11.2M	$1.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.1M	-$12.5M	-$8.9M	-$8.9M	$8.6M	$951.7K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.6M	-$7.6M	-$7.9M	-$7.9M	—	—

3. IDAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IDAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IDAI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (+4.00% 1D, market cap $16.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IDAI ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IDAI compare to AIFF and VIDA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), IDAI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIFF (Firefly Neuroscience Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.2M) and VIDA (VIDA Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDAI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while INLX leads on capital efficiency (-12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IDAI?

Per IDAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718939), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) generated $3.1M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), -$8.3M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $11.2M in total assets and $1.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IDAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IDAI last traded at $2.86 (+4.00% on volume of 129,116 shares), positioning the stock -5.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.02) and +7.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.17 to $5.28, IDAI sits at the 41.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).

IDAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IDAI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IDAI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for IDAI, spanning a range between $2.5 and $3.22.

Direct Sub-Reports: IDAI RQD Cockpit IDAI 12M Forecast IDAI Earnings & Move IDAI Dividends & DRIP IDAI Insiders & 13F IDAI Whale Options IDAI Profit Sankey IDAI News & Why