CATALYSTReuters • 3h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why ICMB Stock advanced +0.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.75 +0.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.75
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $10.8M
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Is ICMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: ICMB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $0.75 (+0.07% 1D, market cap $10.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICMB ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ICMB compare to MDBH and BTCT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ICMB carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.9%. By comparison, MDBH (MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.2%, cap $9.8M) and BTCT (BTC Digital Ltd.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $8.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICMB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICMB?
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Per ICMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578348), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$8.8M in net income, and $11.7M in free cash flow against $188.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.75 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICMB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ICMB SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (27% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.70-2.9% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$0.68+2.9% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$0.70+7.1% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$0.75-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICMB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ICMB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.79) or 200D SMA ($1.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.74) toward Bear Floor ($0.58).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICMB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ICMB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ICMB Stock advanced +0.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) advanced +0.07% to $0.75, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $3.12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $3.12) with RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.75 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $11.7M annual free cash flow.
Live ICMB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Oil prices ease 3% on optimism for Qatari-led talks on ending Iran war - ReutersOil prices ease 3% on optimism for Qatari-led talks on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 13h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICMB)
- ✓Walkthrough of ICMB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ICMB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.79%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $0.77H $0.79L $0.70C $0.75VOL 141.3K
RES: $0.84SUP: $0.60SMA50: $0.79SMA200: $1.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ICMB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICMB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICMB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICMB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICMB)
Financials Rank #707 of 1096
⚔️ MDBH vs ICMB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ICMB vs. MDBH, BTCT, NCPL, BENF)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #1073 by equity capitalization ($10.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICMB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MDBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NCPL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ICMB at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICMB
ACTIVE
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | -14.9% | +0.07% | $10.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| MDBH MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | 8.2% | +9.70% | $9.8M | /mdbh-vs-icmb → |
| BTCT BTC Digital Ltd. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -18.9% | -3.62% | $8.4M | /btct-vs-icmb → |
| NCPL Netcapital Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +61.82% | $14.3M | /ncpl-vs-icmb → |
| BENF Beneficient (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.30% | $15.3M | /benf-vs-icmb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001578348In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$8.8M, operating cash flow of $11.7M, and free cash flow of $11.7M (-68.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICMB closed FY2025 with $188.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$8.8M | $11.7M | $11.7M | $188.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $0 | -$4.1M | $37.1M | $37.1M | $206.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $0 | $3.2M | $20.7M | $20.7M | — | — |
3. ICMB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ICMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: ICMB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $0.75 (+0.07% 1D, market cap $10.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICMB ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ICMB compare to MDBH and BTCT in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ICMB carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.9%. By comparison, MDBH (MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.2%, cap $9.8M) and BTCT (BTC Digital Ltd.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $8.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICMB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICMB?
Per ICMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578348), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$8.8M in net income, and $11.7M in free cash flow against $188.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ICMB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ICMB last traded at $0.75 (+0.07% on volume of 125,177 shares), positioning the stock -5.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.79) and -49.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.49). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $3.12, ICMB sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.84).
ICMB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ICMB stock moving today?
Why ICMB Stock advanced +0.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.