Why IBM Stock surged +2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$258.28 +2.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $244.11B
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Why IBM Stock surged +2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) surged +2.00% to $258.28, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($199.19 – $332.46). High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($199.19 – $332.46) with RSI-14 at 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $258.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 58.2% gross margin and $12.1B annual free cash flow.
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IBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.55%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-01O $253.2H $258.3L $253.2C $258.3VOL 3.93M
RES: $213.7SUP: $213.4SMA50: $235.6SMA200: $249.0
$341.8$303.1$264.5$225.8$187.2RES $213.7SUP $213.4$258.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
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IBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

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No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBM)

Technology Rank #62 of 241 ⚔️ DELL vs IBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IBM vs. DELL, HPQ, SMCI, ARM)

Industry: Computer Manufacturing (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 241 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) ranks #62 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #24 by equity capitalization ($244.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HPQ leads on earnings valuation at 11.3x trailing P/E, while HPQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.0% ROIC and 20.6% gross margin. IBM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBM ACTIVE
International Business Machines Corporation
B- 71/100 23.0x 58.2% 13.8% +2.00% $244.11B Benchmark Subject
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc. (Class C)
B- 71/100 50.9x 20.0% 26.6% -3.70% $302.34B /dell-vs-ibm →
HPQ
HP Inc.
B- 70/100 11.3x 20.6% 51.0% -1.91% $28.70B /hpq-vs-ibm →
SMCI
Super Micro Computer Inc.
C- 60/100 21.6x 11.1% 8.4% -3.85% $22.62B /smci-vs-ibm →
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
D+ 58/100 — 96.0% 3.7% -3.02% $243.42B /arm-vs-ibm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000051143

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) reported GAAP revenue of $67.53B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $62.75B , and +9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.59B, operating cash flow of $13.19B, and free cash flow of $12.10B (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBM closed FY2025 with $151.88B in total assets against $54.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.38, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $67.53B $10.59B $13.19B $12.10B $151.88B $54.84B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $62.75B $6.02B $13.45B $12.40B $137.18B $49.88B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $61.86B $7.50B $13.93B $11.15B $134.26B $31.42B

3. IBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

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Is IBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $258.28 (+2.00% 1D, market cap $244.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 241 tracked Technology issuers, IBM ranks #62 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBM compare to DELL and HPQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Manufacturing), IBM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 58.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, DELL (Dell Technologies Inc. (Class C)) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 50.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $302.34B) and HPQ (HP Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 51.0%, cap $28.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HPQ leads on earnings multiple (11.3x) while HPQ leads on capital efficiency (51.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBM?

Per IBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000051143), International Business Machines Corporation generated $67.53B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $10.59B in net income, and $12.10B in free cash flow against $151.88B in total assets and $54.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBM last traded at $258.28 (+2.00% on volume of 3,934,492 shares), positioning the stock +9.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($235.62) and +3.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($248.96). Across its 52-week range of $199.19 to $332.46, IBM sits at the 44.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($241.75 to $274.81).

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Why is IBM stock moving today?

Why IBM Stock surged +2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.