Stock Ratings / Health Care / HYPD / options

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Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.22 -8.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.17

Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $54.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HYPD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HYPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Hyperion DeFi Inc. (NASDAQ: HYPD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.22 (-8.13% 1D, market cap $54.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HYPD ranks #299 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HYPD compare to HOWL and PLRX in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), HYPD carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HOWL (Werewolf Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.5M) and PLRX (Pliant Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HYPD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYPD leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYPD?

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Per HYPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001682639), Hyperion DeFi Inc. generated $813.5K in revenue (+1318.8% YoY), -$45.3M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $51.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.17 (-1.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HYPD SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$3.40-16.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.84-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.80+15% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.22-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYPD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HYPD currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.43) and Max Pain ($3.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYPD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HYPD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (HYPD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for HYPD.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYPD)

✓Walkthrough of HYPD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HYPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.10%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $3.29H $3.34L $3.06C $3.22VOL 355.3K

RES: $4.23SUP: $2.66SMA50: $3.43SMA200: $3.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HYPD Butterfly Map → + Track HYPD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYPD)

Health Care Rank #299 of 1016 ⚔️ HOWL vs HYPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HYPD vs. HOWL, PLRX, CLNN, TLPH)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) ranks #299 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #738 by equity capitalization ($54.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HYPD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HYPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 62.7% gross margin. HYPD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HYPD ACTIVE Hyperion DeFi Inc.	D	50/100	—	62.7%	-35.0%	-8.13%	$54.1M	Benchmark Subject
HOWL Werewolf Therapeutics Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	-35.0%	-10.35%	$53.5M	/howl-vs-hypd →
PLRX Pliant Therapeutics Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.13%	$53.3M	/plrx-vs-hypd →
CLNN Clene Inc.	E	34/100	—	78.5%	-35.0%	-1.79%	$55.4M	/clnn-vs-hypd →
TLPH Talphera Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.74%	$55.5M	/tlph-vs-hypd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001682639

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) reported GAAP revenue of $813.5K (+1318.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.3K , and +21380.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$45.3M, operating cash flow of -$14.8M, and free cash flow of -$14.8M (+51.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYPD closed FY2025 with $51.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$813.5K	-$45.3M	-$14.8M	-$14.8M	$51.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$57.3K	-$49.8M	-$30.1M	-$30.3M	$3.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.8K	-$27.3M	-$23.8M	-$23.8M	—	—

3. HYPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HYPD compare to HOWL and PLRX in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYPD?

Where is HYPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYPD last traded at $3.22 (-8.13% on volume of 356,350 shares), positioning the stock -6.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.43) and -4.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.36). Across its 52-week range of $2.34 to $6.48, HYPD sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.82 to $3.62).