HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$2.07 -2.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.06

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $567.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.06 (-0.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 20.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.9% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE HIVE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HIVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HIVE SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.9% FCF Margin ($62.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$2.50-18.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$2.03-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$1.93+7.3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$2.07-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HIVE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HIVE currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.72) and Max Pain ($2.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HIVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HIVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HIVE Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$62.3M (20.9% FCF Margin)
Revenue$297.8MGross Profit $154.9M (52%)Cost of Sales $142.9MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $154.9MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $114.5M
FY24
Rev $115.3M
FY25
Rev $297.8M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$297.8M52%0%-$148.4M$62.3M-26.5%
FY 2024$115.3M52%0%-$3.0M$16.6M-26.5%
FY 2023$114.5M52%0%$26.5M$9.6M-26.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HIVE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HIVE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HIVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.94H $2.07L $1.82C $2.07VOL 19.00M
RES: $2.80SUP: $0.69SMA50: $2.72SMA200: $2.83
$5.59$4.57$3.54$2.52$1.50RES $2.80SUP $0.69$2.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HIVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +158.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HIVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HIVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HIVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HIVE)

Financials Rank #766 of 1096 ⚔️ ABTC vs HIVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HIVE vs. ABTC, GAIN, FWDI, VEL)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) ranks #766 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #674 by equity capitalization ($567.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VEL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while GAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with HIVE at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HIVE ACTIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — -26.5% -2.36% $567.8M Benchmark Subject
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -27.1% -5.90% $546.1M /abtc-vs-hive →
GAIN
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company
D 49/100 — — 31.0% +1.26% $608.1M /gain-vs-hive →
FWDI
Forward Industries Inc.
E 26/100 — — -0.8% -4.54% $529.4M /fwdi-vs-hive →
VEL
Velocity Financial Inc.
C- 59/100 6.0x — 15.6% +2.44% $629.7M /vel-vs-hive →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001720424

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) reported GAAP revenue of $297.8M (+158.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $115.3M , and +160.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$148.4M, operating cash flow of $62.3M, and free cash flow of $62.3M (+274.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HIVE closed FY2025 with $624.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $297.8M -$148.4M $62.3M $62.3M $624.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $115.3M -$3.0M $16.6M $16.6M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $114.5M $26.5M $9.6M $9.6M — —

3. HIVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HIVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: HIVE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.07 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $567.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HIVE ranks #766 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HIVE compare to ABTC and GAIN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HIVE carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -26.5%. By comparison, ABTC (American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.1%, cap $546.1M) and GAIN (Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 31.0%, cap $608.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HIVE?

Per HIVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001720424), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. generated $297.8M in revenue (+158.3% YoY), -$148.4M in net income, and $62.3M in free cash flow against $624.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HIVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HIVE last traded at $2.07 (-2.36% on volume of 8,468,254 shares), positioning the stock -23.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.72) and -26.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.83). Across its 52-week range of $1.73 to $5.59, HIVE sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.81 to $2.33).

HIVE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), HIVE converted $297.8M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $62.3M in free cash flow (20.9% FCF margin).

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