Stock Ratings / Financials / HG / forecast

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Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$34.43 -0.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.86B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $34.43: 290.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $26.50

$7,697

$-2,303 (-23.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $33.97

$9,866

$-134 (-1.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $40.08

$11,641

+$1,641 (+16.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$35	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$38	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$30	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HG)

✓Walkthrough of HG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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HG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $35.33H $35.64L $33.74C $34.43VOL 588.5K

RES: $37.26SUP: $32.43SMA50: $34.91SMA200: $32.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HG Butterfly Map → + Track HG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HG)

Financials Rank #696 of 1096 ⚔️ SPNT vs HG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HG vs. SPNT, AGO, SKWD, SLDE)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) ranks #696 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #375 by equity capitalization ($2.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGO leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while SLDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SLDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with HG at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HG ACTIVE Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B)	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-0.72%	$2.86B	Benchmark Subject
SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd.	C	64/100	6.6x	—	18.6%	+2.69%	$3.01B	/spnt-vs-hg →
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd.	C	63/100	6.2x	—	8.9%	+2.25%	$3.12B	/ago-vs-hg →
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc.	C+	68/100	15.3x	—	16.8%	+0.95%	$2.60B	/skwd-vs-hg →
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings Inc.	A-	82/100	7.2x	—	39.9%	+1.29%	$3.22B	/slde-vs-hg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001593275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+24.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and +84.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $842.4M, and free cash flow of $842.4M (+10.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HG closed FY2025 with $9.57B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.91B	$0	$842.4M	$842.4M	$9.57B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.33B	$0	$759.3M	$759.3M	$7.80B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.57B	$0	$283.2M	$283.2M	—	—

3. HG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (NYSE: HG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $34.43 (-0.72% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HG ranks #696 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HG compare to SPNT and AGO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), HG carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $3.01B) and AGO (Assured Guaranty Ltd.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SLDE leads on capital efficiency (39.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HG?

Per HG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001593275), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) generated $2.91B in revenue (+24.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $842.4M in free cash flow against $9.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HG last traded at $34.43 (-0.72% on volume of 827,838 shares), positioning the stock -1.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.91) and +6.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.35). Across its 52-week range of $22.66 to $37.31, HG sits at the 80.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($32.50 to $36.36).

HG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HG's 12-month stock price target?

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $33.97 (-1.3% from $34.43), with a bull-case target of $40.08 and a bear-case floor of $26.5.