Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.42 -15.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29

Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $186.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29 (-2.98%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (9)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE HDSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HDSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HDSN SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$5.14-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$5.01+7.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$5.37-17.7% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$4.42-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HDSN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HDSN currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.22) and Max Pain ($4.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HDSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HDSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HDSN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HDSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HDSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.39%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.24H $4.42L $4.10C $4.42VOL 1.46M
RES: $6.52SUP: $4.83SMA50: $5.22SMA200: $5.92
$8.11$7.02$5.94$4.85$3.76RES $6.52SUP $4.83$4.422026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HDSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HDSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HDSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HDSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HDSN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #902 of 1011 ⚔️ ASLE vs HDSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HDSN vs. ASLE, VIRC, WBX, YDDL)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) ranks #902 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #702 by equity capitalization ($186.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YDDL leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while YDDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with HDSN at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HDSN ACTIVE
Hudson Technologies Inc.
D- 35/100 11.2x 25.2% 7.2% -15.49% $186.0M Benchmark Subject
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
D- 43/100 26.1x 31.5% 2.3% +2.40% $223.8M /asle-vs-hdsn →
VIRC
Virco Manufacturing Corporation
D- 41/100 38.2x 40.7% 3.0% -0.80% $98.2M /virc-vs-hdsn →
WBX
Wallbox N.V. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 — — — 0.00% $66.9M /wbx-vs-hdsn →
YDDL
One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)
D 49/100 5.2x 23.9% 22.9% -1.79% $61.6M /yddl-vs-hdsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000925528

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) reported GAAP revenue of $246.6M (+4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.1M , and -14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.7M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$8.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HDSN closed FY2025 with $318.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.66, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $246.6M $16.7M -$3.2M -$8.2M $318.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $237.1M $24.4M $91.8M $86.5M $302.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $289.0M $52.2M $58.5M $58.5M — —

3. HDSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HDSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hudson Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: HDSN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $4.42 (-15.49% 1D, market cap $186.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HDSN ranks #902 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HDSN compare to ASLE and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), HDSN carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.2x, gross margin of 25.2%, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, ASLE (AerSale Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $223.8M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $98.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HDSN?

Per HDSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000925528), Hudson Technologies Inc. generated $246.6M in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $16.7M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $318.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HDSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HDSN last traded at $4.42 (-15.49% on volume of 3,546,647 shares), positioning the stock -15.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.22) and -25.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.92). Across its 52-week range of $4.10 to $9.10, HDSN sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($4.12 to $4.72).

HDSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does HDSN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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