Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GXO / forecast

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GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$49.93 +1.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.73B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GXO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GXO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $49.93: 200.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.19

$7,448

$-2,552 (-25.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $47.68

$9,549

$-451 (-4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $70.19

$14,058

+$4,058 (+40.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$50	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$66	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$42	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GXO)

✓Walkthrough of GXO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $49.38H $49.93L $49.38C $49.93VOL 957.6K

RES: $57.53SUP: $42.03SMA50: $46.93SMA200: $51.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GXO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GXO Butterfly Map → + Track GXO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GXO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GXO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GXO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GXO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #275 of 304 ⚔️ GATX vs GXO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GXO vs. GATX, RXO, XPO, EXPE)

Industry: Transportation Services (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) ranks #275 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #235 by equity capitalization ($5.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while EXPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 57.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with GXO at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GXO ACTIVE GXO Logistics Inc.	D	48/100	159.1x	—	4.2%	+1.11%	$5.73B	Benchmark Subject
GATX GATX Corporation	D+	57/100	19.1x	—	4.0%	+6.87%	$6.37B	/gatx-vs-gxo →
RXO RXO Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	-2.9%	+0.18%	$4.56B	/rxo-vs-gxo →
XPO XPO Inc.	D	48/100	67.8x	—	10.8%	+0.73%	$21.43B	/xpo-vs-gxo →
EXPE Expedia Group Inc.	C+	66/100	24.9x	—	57.1%	+2.61%	$32.37B	/expe-vs-gxo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852244

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) reported GAAP revenue of $13.18B (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.71B , and +34.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $36.0M, operating cash flow of $434.0M, and free cash flow of $110.0M (-42.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GXO closed FY2025 with $12.26B in total assets against $2.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$13.18B	$36.0M	$434.0M	$110.0M	$12.26B	$2.87B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$11.71B	$138.0M	$549.0M	$190.0M	$11.27B	$2.64B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.78B	$233.0M	$558.0M	$118.0M	$11.73B	$2.75B

3. GXO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $49.93 (+1.11% 1D, market cap $5.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GXO ranks #275 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GXO compare to GATX and RXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GXO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 159.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, GATX (GATX Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B) and RXO (RXO Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $4.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while EXPE leads on capital efficiency (57.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GXO?

Per GXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852244), GXO Logistics Inc. generated $13.18B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), $36.0M in net income, and $110.0M in free cash flow against $12.26B in total assets and $2.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GXO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GXO last traded at $49.93 (+1.11% on volume of 957,570 shares), positioning the stock +6.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.93) and -3.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($51.74). Across its 52-week range of $43.61 to $66.85, GXO sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($47.28 to $52.58).

GXO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GXO's 12-month stock price target?

GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $47.68 (-4.5% from $49.93), with a bull-case target of $70.19 and a bear-case floor of $37.19.

Is GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GXO D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GXO RQD Cockpit GXO 12M Forecast GXO Earnings & Move GXO Dividends & DRIP GXO Insiders & 13F GXO Whale Options GXO Profit Sankey GXO News & Why