Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / GRDN / earnings

CVS (61) YI (42) PETS (26) RDGT (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) (GRDN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.4% Move

$40.45 +0.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.57

Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) (GRDN) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (20% profit margin, 38% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.56B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.57 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 6.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GRDN SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($100.3M FCF) & 20.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$41.28-4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$39.47-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$39.44+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$40.45+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRDN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, GRDN faces multiple-compression risk if 52.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 17.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.05) or 200D SMA ($38.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($43.91) toward Bear Floor ($33.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRDN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GRDN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.4% Swing Band

±$2.99 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GRDN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 77/100

Trailing EPS: $0.78 • YoY Revenue Growth: 17.9%

Model Bullish Setup (77/100)Model Risk Weight (23/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.45B	$49.2M	$100.3M	20.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.23B	-$110.0M	$58.0M	19.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GRDN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GRDN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GRDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $40.98H $41.37L $40.26C $40.45VOL 319.0K

RES: $49.88SUP: $39.08SMA50: $41.05SMA200: $38.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRDN Butterfly Map → + Track GRDN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

37.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRDN)

Consumer Staples Rank #4 of 146 ⚔️ CVS vs GRDN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (GRDN vs. CVS, YI, PETS, RDGT)

Industry: Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores (5 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) (GRDN) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #53 by equity capitalization ($2.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRDN leads on earnings valuation at 52.1x trailing P/E, while GRDN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. GRDN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GRDN ACTIVE Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A)	B+	77/100	52.1x	20.2%	37.7%	+0.30%	$2.56B	Benchmark Subject
CVS CVS Health Corporation	C-	61/100	65.3x	45.0%	2.6%	+0.42%	$115.53B	/cvs-vs-grdn →
YI 111 Inc.	D-	42/100	—	5.8%	-20.5%	+0.34%	$26.2M	/yi-vs-grdn →
PETS PetMed Express Inc.	E	26/100	—	28.1%	-35.0%	-0.84%	$25.6M	/pets-vs-grdn →
RDGT Ridgetech Inc.	D-	43/100	—	3.6%	—	-2.45%	$3.0M	/rdgt-vs-grdn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001802255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) (GRDN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.45B (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B ) , GAAP net income of $49.2M, operating cash flow of $100.3M, and free cash flow of $100.3M (+73.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRDN closed FY2025 with $412.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.45B	$49.2M	$100.3M	$100.3M	$412.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.23B	-$110.0M	$58.0M	$58.0M	$320.8M	—

3. GRDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GRDN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $40.45 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $2.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GRDN ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRDN compare to CVS and YI in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores), GRDN carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 52.1x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, CVS (CVS Health Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 65.3x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $115.53B) and YI (111 Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.5%, cap $26.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRDN leads on earnings multiple (52.1x) while GRDN leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRDN?

Per GRDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802255), Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (Class A) generated $1.45B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $49.2M in net income, and $100.3M in free cash flow against $412.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRDN last traded at $40.45 (+0.30% on volume of 208,031 shares), positioning the stock -1.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.05) and +6.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.08). Across its 52-week range of $26.34 to $48.33, GRDN sits at the 64.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($37.46 to $43.44).