Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GPI / financials

ABG (49) OPLN (63) SAH (71) RUSHA (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$259.97 +4.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $262.55

Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (16% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $3.10B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $262.54 (+0.99%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GPI SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($424.5M FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$232.01+4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$242.22+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$244.97+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$259.97+7.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GPI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, GPI faces multiple-compression risk if 9.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($254.49) or 200D SMA ($306.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($283.37) toward Bear Floor ($213.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GPI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$424.5M (1.9% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $17.87B

FY24

Rev $19.93B

FY25

Rev $22.57B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$22.57B	16%	3.3%	$325.2M	$424.5M	21%
FY 2024	$19.93B	16.3%	4.6%	$498.1M	$341.2M	24.4%
FY 2023	$17.87B	16%	5.4%	$601.6M	$190.2M	21%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPI)

✓Walkthrough of GPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.15%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $263.0H $272.4L $255.8C $260.0VOL 212.6K

RES: $431.3SUP: $220.8SMA50: $254.5SMA200: $306.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPI Butterfly Map → + Track GPI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #49 of 1011 ⚔️ ABG vs GPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GPI vs. ABG, OPLN, SAH, RUSHA)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI) ranks #49 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #355 by equity capitalization ($3.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GPI ACTIVE Group 1 Automotive Inc.	B+	78/100	9.5x	16.0%	21.0%	+4.18%	$3.10B	Benchmark Subject
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc	D	49/100	7.3x	17.1%	14.0%	+2.97%	$3.58B	/abg-vs-gpi →
OPLN OPENLANE Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	—	9.5%	+2.70%	$4.73B	/opln-vs-gpi →
SAH Sonic Automotive Inc.	B-	71/100	16.9x	15.7%	11.1%	+0.78%	$2.01B	/sah-vs-gpi →
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A	C	63/100	19.1x	20.7%	13.7%	+4.41%	$5.08B	/rusha-vs-gpi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001031203

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI) reported GAAP revenue of $22.57B (+13.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.93B , and +26.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $325.2M, operating cash flow of $694.5M, and free cash flow of $424.5M (+24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPI closed FY2025 with $10.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$22.57B	$325.2M	$694.5M	$424.5M	$10.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$19.93B	$498.1M	$586.3M	$341.2M	$9.82B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.87B	$601.6M	$190.2M	$190.2M	—	—

3. GPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Group 1 Automotive Inc. (NYSE: GPI) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $259.97 (+4.18% 1D, market cap $3.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GPI ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPI compare to ABG and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), GPI carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.5x, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 21.0%. By comparison, ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.58B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPI?

Per GPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001031203), Group 1 Automotive Inc. generated $22.57B in revenue (+13.2% YoY), $325.2M in net income, and $424.5M in free cash flow against $10.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPI last traded at $259.97 (+4.18% on volume of 200,841 shares), positioning the stock +2.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($254.49) and -15.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($306.87). Across its 52-week range of $224.65 to $429.00, GPI sits at the 17.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($234.23 to $285.71).

GPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), GPI converted $22.6B of revenue into a 16% gross margin, 3.3% operating margin, and $424.5M in free cash flow (1.9% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: GPI RQD Cockpit GPI 12M Forecast GPI Earnings & Move GPI Dividends & DRIP GPI Insiders & 13F GPI Whale Options GPI Profit Sankey GPI News & Why