Stock Ratings / Financials / GPGI / earnings

PFSI (58) SLM (38) GBDC (51) PURR (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.6% Move

$11.60 +4.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.66

GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $3.36B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.66 (+0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GPGI SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.60-1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.47-9.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.34+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$11.60-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPGI currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.55) and Max Pain ($12.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GPGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.6% Swing Band

±$1.35 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GPGI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -65%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$59.8M	-$136.0M	-$22.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$420.6M	-$83.2M	$122.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$390.6M	$112.5M	$104.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPGI)

✓Walkthrough of GPGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GPGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.22H $11.60L $10.79C $11.60VOL 2.52M

RES: $12.79SUP: $10.03SMA50: $12.55SMA200: $15.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPGI Butterfly Map → + Track GPGI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPGI)

Financials Rank #1010 of 1096 ⚔️ PFSI vs GPGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GPGI vs. PFSI, SLM, GBDC, PURR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) ranks #1010 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #339 by equity capitalization ($3.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PURR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PURR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GPGI at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GPGI ACTIVE GPGI Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	-6.5%	+4.13%	$3.36B	Benchmark Subject
PFSI PennyMac Financial Services Inc.	D+	58/100	6.7x	—	11.6%	+1.56%	$3.35B	/pfsi-vs-gpgi →
SLM SLM Corporation	D-	38/100	4.5x	—	7.4%	+2.99%	$3.34B	/slm-vs-gpgi →
GBDC Golub Capital BDC Inc.	D	51/100	8.8x	—	9.6%	+2.65%	$3.32B	/gbdc-vs-gpgi →
PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc	B-	71/100	32.8x	—	33.0%	+23.27%	$3.42B	/purr-vs-gpgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001823144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) reported GAAP revenue of $59.8M (-85.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.6M , and -84.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$136.0M, operating cash flow of -$22.9M, and free cash flow of -$22.9M (-118.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPGI closed FY2025 with $517.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$59.8M	-$136.0M	-$22.9M	-$22.9M	$517.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$420.6M	-$83.2M	$129.6M	$122.1M	$473.9M	$184.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$390.6M	$112.5M	$104.3M	$104.3M	—	—

3. GPGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GPGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $11.60 (+4.13% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPGI ranks #1010 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPGI compare to PFSI and SLM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GPGI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B) and SLM (SLM Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPGI?

Per GPGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823144), GPGI Inc. (Class A) generated $59.8M in revenue (-85.8% YoY), -$136.0M in net income, and -$22.9M in free cash flow against $517.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPGI last traded at $11.60 (+4.13% on volume of 1,283,530 shares), positioning the stock -7.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.55) and -26.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.85). Across its 52-week range of $10.43 to $26.78, GPGI sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($10.25 to $12.95).

GPGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GPGI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GPGI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.6% event move for GPGI, spanning a range between $10.25 and $12.95.

Direct Sub-Reports: GPGI RQD Cockpit GPGI 12M Forecast GPGI Earnings & Move GPGI Dividends & DRIP GPGI Insiders & 13F GPGI Whale Options GPGI Profit Sankey GPGI News & Why