Stock Ratings / Energy / GFR / dividends

KOS (44) PBT (56) NBR (44) NEXT (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.80 -2.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.63B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76 (-0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GFR SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.35+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.57+6.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.98-2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$6.80-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GFR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.36) or 200D SMA ($6.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.77) toward Bear Floor ($5.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GFR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GFR)

✓Walkthrough of GFR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.04%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $6.87H $6.87L $6.67C $6.80VOL 827.2K

RES: $7.04SUP: $5.46SMA50: $6.36SMA200: $6.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GFR Butterfly Map → + Track GFR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFR)

Energy Rank #113 of 211 ⚔️ KOS vs GFR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GFR vs. KOS, PBT, NBR, NEXT)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #125 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GFR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GFR ACTIVE Greenfire Resources Ltd.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-2.02%	$1.63B	Benchmark Subject
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.90%	$1.60B	/kos-vs-gfr →
PBT Permian Basin Royalty Trust	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.81%	$1.51B	/pbt-vs-gfr →
NBR Nabors Industries Ltd.	D	44/100	5.2x	—	21.1%	-1.43%	$1.48B	/nbr-vs-gfr →
NEXT NextDecade Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-2.1%	+11.52%	$1.93B	/next-vs-gfr →

2. GFR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $1.63B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GFR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE: GFR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $6.80 (-2.02% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GFR ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFR compare to KOS and PBT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GFR carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.60B) and PBT (Permian Basin Royalty Trust) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFR?

For Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #113 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFR last traded at $6.80 (-2.02% on volume of 560,191 shares), positioning the stock +6.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.36) and +11.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.09). Across its 52-week range of $4.15 to $7.16, GFR sits at the 88.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($6.17 to $7.43).

GFR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does GFR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: GFR RQD Cockpit GFR 12M Forecast GFR Earnings & Move GFR Dividends & DRIP GFR Insiders & 13F GFR Whale Options GFR Profit Sankey GFR News & Why