MARKET WIREReuters • 43m ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why GEOS Stock slipped -1.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.60 -1.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.58
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $59.5M
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Is GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $4.60 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $59.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GEOS compare to BLNK and LASE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $59.7M) and LASE (Laser Photonics Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $52.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?
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Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.58 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEOS SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.53 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.68-5.8% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.41-3.4% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.26+8% Next Q
30
CurrentGrade E$4.60-10.3% Hist 90D α
27
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEOS Turnaround Squeeze
While GEOS currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.90) and Max Pain ($4.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.21.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GEOS Stock slipped -1.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) slipped -1.29% to $4.60, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.11 – $28.77). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.11 – $28.77) with RSI-14 at 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $4.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 29.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GEOS Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEOS)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GEOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.50H $4.60L $4.35C $4.60VOL 57.1K
RES: $5.22SUP: $3.99SMA50: $4.90SMA200: $8.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GEOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEOS)
Industrials Rank #468 of 485
⚔️ BLNK vs GEOS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEOS vs. BLNK, LASE, NVX, TGEN)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #397 by equity capitalization ($59.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEOS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GEOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. NVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with GEOS at 27/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEOS
ACTIVE
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) | E | 27/100 | — | 29.7% | -8.5% | -1.29% | $59.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| BLNK Blink Charging Co. | D- | 38/100 | — | 24.6% | -35.0% | +0.83% | $59.7M | /blnk-vs-geos → |
| LASE Laser Photonics Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | 14.4% | -35.0% | -0.32% | $52.7M | /lase-vs-geos → |
| NVX NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.44% | $51.7M | /nvx-vs-geos → |
| TGEN Tecogen Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 36.3% | -35.0% | 0.00% | $70.3M | /tgen-vs-geos → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001001115In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) reported GAAP revenue of $110.8M (-18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $135.6M , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.7M, operating cash flow of -$22.2M, and free cash flow of -$30.2M (-133.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEOS closed FY2025 with $144.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.53, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $110.8M | -$9.7M | -$22.2M | -$30.2M | $144.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $135.6M | -$6.6M | -$9.1M | -$12.9M | $159.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $124.5M | $12.2M | $15.6M | $15.6M | — | — |
3. GEOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $4.60 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $59.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEOS compare to BLNK and LASE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $59.7M) and LASE (Laser Photonics Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $52.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?
Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEOS last traded at $4.60 (-1.29% on volume of 56,773 shares), positioning the stock -6.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.90) and -45.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.43). Across its 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, GEOS sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($4.18 to $5.02).
GEOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GEOS stock moving today?
Why GEOS Stock slipped -1.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.