Stock Ratings / Industrials / GENC / forecast

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Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.36 +1.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.37

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $254.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.37 (+0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 2.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GENC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GENC SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 14.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 64% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 12.1% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$18.05-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$17.81-2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.38-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.36-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GENC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GENC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.84) or 200D SMA ($15.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.28) toward Bear Floor ($13.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GENC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GENC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GENC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.36: 576.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.48

$7,765

$-2,235 (-22.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $17.28

$9,954

$-46 (-0.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $21.20

$12,212

+$2,212 (+22.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$18	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$20	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$15	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GENC)

✓Walkthrough of GENC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GENC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $17.19H $17.36L $16.99C $17.36VOL 24.1K

RES: $20.75SUP: $17.12SMA50: $17.84SMA200: $15.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GENC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GENC Butterfly Map → + Track GENC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GENC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GENC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GENC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GENC)

Industrials Rank #218 of 485 ⚔️ CMCO vs GENC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GENC vs. CMCO, HY, WNC, MTW)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #337 by equity capitalization ($254.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GENC leads on earnings valuation at 16.2x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. GENC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GENC ACTIVE Gencor Industries Inc.	D+	57/100	16.2x	27.5%	6.2%	+1.22%	$254.5M	Benchmark Subject
CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation	D-	42/100	—	30.1%	-10.6%	+1.26%	$440.2M	/cmco-vs-genc →
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	0.00%	$526.1M	/hy-vs-genc →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	31.2%	-4.05%	$540.2M	/wnc-vs-genc →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D-	41/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.81%	$858.3M	/mtw-vs-genc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000064472

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) reported GAAP revenue of $115.4M (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $113.2M ) , GAAP net income of $15.7M, operating cash flow of $3.1M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (-67.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GENC closed FY2025 with $228.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 14.16, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$115.4M	$15.7M	$3.1M	$3.1M	$228.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$113.2M	$14.6M	$9.3M	$9.3M	$218.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$0	$14.7M	$10.2M	$10.2M	—	—

3. GENC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gencor Industries Inc. (NYSE: GENC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.36 (+1.22% 1D, market cap $254.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GENC ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GENC compare to CMCO and HY in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), GENC carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 27.5%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $440.2M) and HY (Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $526.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GENC leads on earnings multiple (16.2x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GENC?

Per GENC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000064472), Gencor Industries Inc. generated $115.4M in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $15.7M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $228.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GENC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GENC last traded at $17.36 (+1.22% on volume of 38,241 shares), positioning the stock -2.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.84) and +10.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.76). Across its 52-week range of $12.22 to $20.19, GENC sits at the 64.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($16.20 to $18.52).

GENC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GENC's 12-month stock price target?

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $17.28 (-0.5% from $17.36), with a bull-case target of $21.2 and a bear-case floor of $13.48.

Is GENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GENC D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GENC RQD Cockpit GENC 12M Forecast GENC Earnings & Move GENC Dividends & DRIP GENC Insiders & 13F GENC Whale Options GENC Profit Sankey GENC News & Why