MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why GEMI Stock slipped -1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.08 -1.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.07
Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $403.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.07 (-0.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEMI SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$4.39-18.7% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$3.57-14.3% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$3.06+0.7% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D-$3.08-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEMI Turnaround Squeeze
While GEMI currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.36) and Max Pain ($3.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.09.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GEMI Stock slipped -1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) slipped -1.60% to $3.08, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.77 – $18.18). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.77 – $18.18) with RSI-14 at 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GEMI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEMI)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GEMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.97H $3.08L $2.77C $3.08VOL 1.72M
RES: $6.61SUP: $2.70SMA50: $4.36SMA200: $5.22
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GEMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +26.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEMI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEMI)
Financials Rank #992 of 1096
⚔️ BRBI vs GEMI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GEMI vs. BRBI, TREE, BETR, OPRT)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) ranks #992 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #747 by equity capitalization ($403.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPRT leads on earnings valuation at 18.2x trailing P/E, while TREE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TREE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with GEMI at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEMI
ACTIVE
Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.60% | $403.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| BRBI BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.27% | $400.1M | /brbi-vs-gemi → |
| TREE LendingTree Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | — | 8.6% | +5.69% | $393.5M | /tree-vs-gemi → |
| BETR Better Home & Finance Holding Company (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +6.55% | $436.0M | /betr-vs-gemi → |
| OPRT Oportun Financial Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 18.2x | — | 6.5% | +2.15% | $459.0M | /oprt-vs-gemi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002055592In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) reported GAAP revenue of $179.6M (+26.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $142.2M , and +83.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$582.8M, operating cash flow of -$218.1M, and free cash flow of -$220.1M (-99.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEMI closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $179.6M | -$582.8M | -$218.1M | -$220.1M | $1.80B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $142.2M | -$158.5M | -$109.0M | -$110.2M | $1.59B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $98.1M | -$319.7M | -$207.3M | -$207.3M | — | — |
3. GEMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GEMI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $3.08 (-1.60% 1D, market cap $403.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GEMI ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEMI compare to BRBI and TREE in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GEMI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BRBI (BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.1M) and TREE (LendingTree Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.6%, cap $393.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRT leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while TREE leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEMI?
Per GEMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002055592), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) generated $179.6M in revenue (+26.3% YoY), -$582.8M in net income, and -$220.1M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEMI last traded at $3.08 (-1.60% on volume of 1,244,114 shares), positioning the stock -29.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.36) and -41.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.22). Across its 52-week range of $2.77 to $18.18, GEMI sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.69 to $3.47).
GEMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GEMI stock moving today?
Why GEMI Stock slipped -1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.