Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.44 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.44

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $36.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.44 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.1% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GAIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GAIA SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (36% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 7% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$1.33+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.37+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$1.43+0.7% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.44-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (25) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GAIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GAIA currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.40) and Max Pain ($1.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.40.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAIAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGAIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $18,771

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $113/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$12.9K
Yr 4
$13.7K
Yr 5
$14.6K
Yr 6
$15.5K
Yr 7
$16.5K
Yr 8
$17.6K
Yr 9
$18.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GAIA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GAIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.99%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.43H $1.46L $1.38C $1.44VOL 79.3K
RES: $1.45SUP: $1.21SMA50: $1.40SMA200: $2.33
$4.37$3.50$2.63$1.76$0.89RES $1.45SUP $1.21$1.442026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAIA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAIA)

Communication Services Rank #117 of 132 βš”οΈ RDI vs GAIA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (GAIA vs. RDI, TOON, CURI, MPU)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #108 by equity capitalization ($36.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GAIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GAIA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.0% ROIC and 87.1% gross margin. CURI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with GAIA at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GAIA ACTIVE
Gaia Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 β€” 87.1% -5.0% 0.00% $36.6M Benchmark Subject
RDI
Reading International Inc (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.86% $37.3M /rdi-vs-gaia β†’
TOON
Kartoon Studios Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.28% $32.5M /toon-vs-gaia β†’
CURI
CuriosityStream Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 β€” β€” -24.9% -2.32% $150.1M /curi-vs-gaia β†’
MPU
Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 β€” 55.1% -35.0% +0.72% $5.8M /mpu-vs-gaia β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001089872

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) reported GAAP revenue of $99.0M (+10.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $89.3M , and +23.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.5M, operating cash flow of $5.7M, and free cash flow of -$377.0K (-119.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAIA closed FY2025 with $154.6M in total assets against $5.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $99.0M -$4.5M $5.7M -$377.0K $154.6M $5.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $89.3M -$5.2M $6.9M $1.9M $141.2M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $80.4M -$5.6M $5.9M $5.9M β€” β€”

3. GAIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gaia Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GAIA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $36.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GAIA ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAIA compare to RDI and TOON in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), GAIA carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.1%, and ROIC of -5.0%. By comparison, RDI (Reading International Inc (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.3M) and TOON (Kartoon Studios Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $32.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GAIA leads on capital efficiency (-5.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIA?

Per GAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001089872), Gaia Inc. (Class A) generated $99.0M in revenue (+10.8% YoY), -$4.5M in net income, and -$377.0K in free cash flow against $154.6M in total assets and $5.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAIA last traded at $1.44 (0.00% on volume of 95,192 shares), positioning the stock +2.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.40) and -38.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.33). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $5.14, GAIA sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.26 to $1.62).

GAIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does GAIA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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