Why GABC Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$49.41 +0.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.61

German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.61 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 31.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$62 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE GABC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GABC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GABC SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$48.16+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$49.93+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$50.84-2.8% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$49.41+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GABC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, GABC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.42) or 200D SMA ($45.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.75) toward Bear Floor ($40.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GABC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GABC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GABC Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) advanced +0.94% to $49.41, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($37.73 – $52.23). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($37.73 – $52.23) with RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.4% around $49.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $154.0M annual free cash flow.
Live GABC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
1 small-cap stock to target this week and 2 that underwhelm

Many small-cap stocks have limited Wall Street coverage, giving savvy investors the chance to act before everyone else catches on. But the flip side is that these businesses have increased downside risk because they lack

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GABC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GABC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $49.86H $50.09L $48.85C $49.41VOL 150.7K
RES: $52.02SUP: $46.69SMA50: $49.42SMA200: $45.69
$53.04$49.68$46.33$42.97$39.62RES $52.02SUP $46.69$49.412026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GABC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +37.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GABC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GABC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GABC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GABC)

Financials Rank #77 of 1096 ⚔️ DCOM vs GABC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GABC vs. DCOM, STBA, RBCAA, FSUN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #439 by equity capitalization ($1.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STBA leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while RBCAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and — gross margin. DCOM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with GABC at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GABC ACTIVE
German American Bancorp Inc.
B 73/100 16.5x — 9.7% +0.94% $1.86B Benchmark Subject
DCOM
Dime Commercial Bancshares Inc.
B 74/100 16.9x — 7.5% +1.15% $1.87B /dcom-vs-gabc →
STBA
S&T Bancorp Inc.
C 63/100 13.4x — 9.2% +1.21% $1.80B /stba-vs-gabc →
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp Inc. (Class A)
B 72/100 13.7x — 11.9% +0.30% $1.80B /rbcaa-vs-gabc →
FSUN
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
C- 60/100 18.3x — 8.5% +0.69% $1.79B /fsun-vs-gabc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000714395

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) reported GAAP revenue of $487.4M (+37.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $353.7M , and +53.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $112.6M, operating cash flow of $159.3M, and free cash flow of $154.0M (+69.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GABC closed FY2025 with $8.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $487.4M $112.6M $159.3M $154.0M $8.39B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $353.7M $83.8M $95.8M $90.7M $6.30B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $316.9M $85.9M $107.2M $107.2M — —

3. GABC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GABC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, German American Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: GABC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $49.41 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $1.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GABC ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GABC compare to DCOM and STBA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), GABC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, DCOM (Dime Commercial Bancshares Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 16.9x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.87B) and STBA (S&T Bancorp Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $1.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STBA leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while RBCAA leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GABC?

Per GABC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000714395), German American Bancorp Inc. generated $487.4M in revenue (+37.8% YoY), $112.6M in net income, and $154.0M in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GABC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GABC last traded at $49.41 (+0.94% on volume of 154,513 shares), positioning the stock -0.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.42) and +8.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.69). Across its 52-week range of $37.73 to $52.23, GABC sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($47.24 to $51.58).

GABC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GABC stock moving today?

Why GABC Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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