MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 7d ago
Alluvial Capital Management's Q3 2026 Top 10 HoldingsWhy FTLF Stock dropped -4.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.91 -4.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.83
FitLife Brands Inc. (FTLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $74.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FTLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, FitLife Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: FTLF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-4.70% 1D, market cap $74.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FTLF ranks #417 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FTLF compare to ISPR and BTMD in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), FTLF carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of 43.1%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ISPR (Ispire Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $79.1M) and BTMD (Biote Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $42.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAGE leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while BTMD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTLF?
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Per FTLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374328), FitLife Brands Inc. generated $15.9M in revenue (-75.3% YoY), $6.3M in net income, and $7.4M in free cash flow against $106.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.83 (-1.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 46.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTLF SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (36% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$9.23-10.8% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$8.23+1.1% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$8.32-4.9% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$7.91-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FTLF Turnaround Squeeze
While FTLF currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.11) and Max Pain ($8.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FTLF Stock dropped -4.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
FitLife Brands Inc. (FTLF) dropped -4.70% to $7.91, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($7.66 – $19.95). Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($7.66 – $19.95) with RSI-14 at 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.2% around $7.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 43.1% gross margin and $7.4M annual free cash flow.
Live FTLF Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 8d ago
FitLife Brands Eyes Acquisitions, Margin Gains to Offset Organic Growth HeadwindsFitLife Brands (NASDAQ:FTLF) outlined its strategy to grow a portfolio of nutritional supplement and wellness brands through acquisitions, e-commerce sales and operational improvements, while acknowledging recent organic
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FTLF)
- ✓Walkthrough of FTLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FTLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $8.30H $8.30L $7.91C $7.91VOL 21.8K
RES: $9.42SUP: $7.59SMA50: $9.11SMA200: $11.13
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FTLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTLF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTLF)
Health Care Rank #417 of 1016
⚔️ ISPR vs FTLF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FTLF vs. ISPR, BTMD, MDWD, NAGE)
Industry: Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FitLife Brands Inc. (FTLF) ranks #417 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #697 by equity capitalization ($74.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAGE leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while BTMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. NAGE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with FTLF at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTLF
ACTIVE
FitLife Brands Inc. | D | 45/100 | 11.7x | 43.1% | 5.4% | -4.70% | $74.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ISPR Ispire Technology Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 17.8% | -35.0% | -1.44% | $79.1M | /ispr-vs-ftlf → |
| BTMD Biote Corp. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +1.74% | $42.0M | /btmd-vs-ftlf → |
| MDWD MediWound Ltd. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +2.21% | $178.9M | /mdwd-vs-ftlf → |
| NAGE Niagen Bioscience Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 11.4x | 64.3% | 16.8% | -1.57% | $197.8M | /nage-vs-ftlf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001374328In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FitLife Brands Inc. (FTLF) reported GAAP revenue of $15.9M (-75.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $64.5M ) , GAAP net income of $6.3M, operating cash flow of $7.4M, and free cash flow of $7.4M (-22.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTLF closed FY2025 with $106.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $15.9M | $6.3M | $7.4M | $7.4M | $106.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $64.5M | $9.0M | $9.6M | $9.6M | $58.5M | $8.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $5.3M | $4.2M | $4.2M | — | — |
3. FTLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FTLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, FitLife Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: FTLF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-4.70% 1D, market cap $74.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FTLF ranks #417 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FTLF compare to ISPR and BTMD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), FTLF carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of 43.1%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ISPR (Ispire Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $79.1M) and BTMD (Biote Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $42.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAGE leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while BTMD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTLF?
Per FTLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374328), FitLife Brands Inc. generated $15.9M in revenue (-75.3% YoY), $6.3M in net income, and $7.4M in free cash flow against $106.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FTLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FTLF last traded at $7.91 (-4.70% on volume of 21,788 shares), positioning the stock -13.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.11) and -28.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.13). Across its 52-week range of $7.66 to $19.95, FTLF sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($7.10 to $8.72).
FTLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FTLF stock moving today?
Why FTLF Stock dropped -4.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.