MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why FTH Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.75 -2.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.64
Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (FTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $484.5M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $484.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FTH ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FTH compare to BLSM and MNPR in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FTH carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLSM (BlossomHill Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $483.4M) and MNPR (Monopar Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $482.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MNPR leads on capital efficiency (-17.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTH?
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Per FTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829802), Faeth Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$21.1M in net income, and -$20.5M in free cash flow against $22.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.64 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTH SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (31% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$26.03-27.8% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$18.80-9.1% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$17.08+9.8% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D-$18.75-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FTH Turnaround Squeeze
While FTH currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.80) and Max Pain ($19.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.25.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FTH Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (FTH) dropped -2.34% to $18.75, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($7.45 – $42.14). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($7.45 – $42.14) with RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $18.75 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FTH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FTH)
- ✓Walkthrough of FTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $18.56H $19.04L $17.88C $18.75VOL 511.0K
RES: $46.17SUP: $16.12SMA50: $28.80SMA200: $25.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTH)
Health Care Rank #670 of 1016
⚔️ BLSM vs FTH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FTH vs. BLSM, MNPR, EOLS, CTMX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (FTH) ranks #670 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #458 by equity capitalization ($484.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MNPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -17.4% ROIC and — gross margin. BLSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FTH at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTH
ACTIVE
Faeth Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.34% | $484.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| BLSM BlossomHill Therapeutics Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -7.59% | $483.4M | /blsm-vs-fth → |
| MNPR Monopar Therapeutics Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -17.4% | -2.02% | $482.7M | /mnpr-vs-fth → |
| EOLS Evolus Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | 66.3% | -35.0% | -1.51% | $496.7M | /eols-vs-fth → |
| CTMX CytomX Therapeutics Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | — | -20.5% | -2.97% | $499.0M | /ctmx-vs-fth → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829802In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (FTH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$21.1M, operating cash flow of -$20.5M, and free cash flow of -$20.5M (+17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTH closed FY2025 with $22.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$21.1M | -$20.5M | -$20.5M | $22.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$30.2M | -$24.7M | -$24.8M | $45.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$34.1M | -$32.0M | -$32.0M | — | — |
3. FTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Faeth Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $484.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FTH ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FTH compare to BLSM and MNPR in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FTH carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLSM (BlossomHill Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $483.4M) and MNPR (Monopar Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $482.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MNPR leads on capital efficiency (-17.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTH?
Per FTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829802), Faeth Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$21.1M in net income, and -$20.5M in free cash flow against $22.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FTH last traded at $18.75 (-2.34% on volume of 280,968 shares), positioning the stock -34.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.80) and -25.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.14). Across its 52-week range of $7.45 to $42.14, FTH sits at the 32.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($16.41 to $21.09).
FTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FTH stock moving today?
Why FTH Stock dropped -2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.