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Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Are FSM insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FSM leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

$9.37 -2.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.30

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.30 (-0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FSM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FSM SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2% FCF Margin ($79.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.92-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$10.71-14.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.18+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$9.37-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FSM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FSM currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.22) and Max Pain ($9.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FSM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FSM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FSM Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FSM)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FSM. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FSM)

✓Walkthrough of FSM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.90%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $8.97H $9.37L $8.62C $9.37VOL 4.95M

RES: $14.89SUP: $11.84SMA50: $11.22SMA200: $10.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FSM Butterfly Map → + Track FSM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FSM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSM)

Materials Rank #156 of 270 ⚔️ TGB vs FSM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FSM vs. TGB, SA, NG, AYA)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) ranks #156 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #96 by equity capitalization ($2.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. AYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with FSM at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FSM ACTIVE Fortuna Mining Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.90%	$2.85B	Benchmark Subject
TGB Trekor Metals Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.72%	$2.88B	/tgb-vs-fsm →
SA Seabridge Gold Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.45%	$2.78B	/sa-vs-fsm →
NG Novagold Resources Inc.	E	32/100	—	—	-27.6%	-1.44%	$2.71B	/ng-vs-fsm →
AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-3.32%	$3.52B	/aya-vs-fsm →

2. FSM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.85B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. FSM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fortuna Mining Corp. (NYSE: FSM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.37 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $2.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FSM ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FSM compare to TGB and SA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), FSM carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TGB (Trekor Metals Limited) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.88B) and SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSM?

For Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #156 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FSM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FSM last traded at $9.37 (-2.90% on volume of 3,980,493 shares), positioning the stock -16.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.22) and -9.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.31). Across its 52-week range of $7.72 to $13.85, FSM sits at the 26.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($8.59 to $10.15).

FSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are FSM insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FSM leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: FSM RQD Cockpit FSM 12M Forecast FSM Earnings & Move FSM Dividends & DRIP FSM Insiders & 13F FSM Whale Options FSM Profit Sankey FSM News & Why