Why FSK Stock surged +4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.17 +4.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24

FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.23 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$17 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE FSK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FSK SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$10.84-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$10.33+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$10.44+7% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$11.17+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FSK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, FSK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.30) or 200D SMA ($11.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FSK Stock surged +4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) surged +4.30% to $11.17, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($9.72 – $16.31). Solid steady margins (0% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($9.72 – $16.31) with RSI-14 at 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $11.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $592.0M annual free cash flow.
Live FSK Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Should Value Investors Buy FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) Stock?

Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and

MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 8d ago
Why I'm Capping My BDC Exposure At 15%

BDCs trade at a steep discount, but the risks the bears talk about most may not be the ones that matter. Click here to read the full analysis.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FSK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.71%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.14H $11.17L $10.92C $11.17VOL 2.33M
RES: $13.49SUP: $10.06SMA50: $11.30SMA200: $11.34
$15.12$13.72$12.33$10.94$9.55RES $13.49SUP $10.06$11.172026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSK)

Financials Rank #244 of 1096 ⚔️ NAN vs FSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FSK vs. NAN, HTGC, APAM, AAMI)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) ranks #244 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($3.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while APAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 71.9% ROIC and — gross margin. APAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with FSK at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FSK ACTIVE
FS KKR Capital Corp.
C+ 67/100 — — 0.2% +4.30% $3.09B Benchmark Subject
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
C- 60/100 — — — +1.63% $3.01B /nan-vs-fsk →
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 41/100 9.3x — 15.3% +1.75% $3.16B /htgc-vs-fsk →
APAM
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)
B 73/100 10.2x — 71.9% +4.78% $2.95B /apam-vs-fsk →
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D+ 52/100 40.5x — 40.3% +0.06% $3.24B /aami-vs-fsk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001422183

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $11.0M, operating cash flow of $592.0M, and free cash flow of $592.0M (-68.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FSK closed FY2025 with $13.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $11.0M $592.0M $592.0M $13.73B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $585.0M $1.90B $1.90B $14.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $696.0M $1.38B $1.38B — —

3. FSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FS KKR Capital Corp. (NYSE: FSK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $11.17 (+4.30% 1D, market cap $3.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FSK ranks #244 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FSK compare to NAN and HTGC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), FSK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, NAN (Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.01B) and HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSK?

Per FSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001422183), FS KKR Capital Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $11.0M in net income, and $592.0M in free cash flow against $13.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FSK last traded at $11.17 (+4.30% on volume of 2,378,242 shares), positioning the stock -1.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.30) and -1.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.34). Across its 52-week range of $9.72 to $16.31, FSK sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($10.59 to $11.75).

FSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FSK stock moving today?

Why FSK Stock surged +4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (0% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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