Stock Ratings / Financials / FRBA / forecast

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First Bank (FRBA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.44 +0.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.42

First Bank (FRBA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $488.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.42 (-0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRBA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FRBA SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.3% FCF Margin ($13.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$17.48+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$17.80+8.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$19.39+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$19.44-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRBA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRBA currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.00) and Max Pain ($20.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRBA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FRBA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FRBA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.44: 514.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.62

$7,521

$-2,479 (-24.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $18.74

$9,640

$-360 (-3.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.11

$11,373

+$1,373 (+13.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$19	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$21	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$17	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRBA)

✓Walkthrough of FRBA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FRBA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $19.57H $19.75L $19.29C $19.44VOL 98.0K

RES: $20.00SUP: $17.07SMA50: $18.00SMA200: $17.00

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRBA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRBA Butterfly Map → + Track FRBA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRBA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRBA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRBA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRBA)

Financials Rank #857 of 1096 ⚔️ PBAM vs FRBA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRBA vs. PBAM, CZNC, BMRC, WTBA)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Bank (FRBA) ranks #857 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #710 by equity capitalization ($488.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WTBA leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while WTBA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CZNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FRBA at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FRBA ACTIVE First Bank	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.47%	$488.6M	Benchmark Subject
PBAM Private Bancorp of America Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.22%	$490.2M	/pbam-vs-frba →
CZNC Citizens & Northern Corp	C+	67/100	21.3x	—	6.9%	+1.20%	$498.9M	/cznc-vs-frba →
BMRC Bank of Marin Bancorp	C+	66/100	17.6x	—	6.7%	-0.31%	$466.4M	/bmrc-vs-frba →
WTBA West Bancorporation	C	63/100	15.7x	—	12.2%	-1.38%	$512.0M	/wtba-vs-frba →

2. FRBA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

First Bank (FRBA) operates in Major Banks (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $488.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. FRBA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Bank (NASDAQ: FRBA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $19.44 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $488.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRBA ranks #857 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRBA compare to PBAM and CZNC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FRBA carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PBAM (Private Bancorp of America Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $490.2M) and CZNC (Citizens & Northern Corp) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $498.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTBA leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while WTBA leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRBA?

For First Bank (FRBA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #857 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRBA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRBA last traded at $19.44 (+0.47% on volume of 93,695 shares), positioning the stock +8.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.00) and +14.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.00). Across its 52-week range of $14.41 to $19.95, FRBA sits at the 90.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($18.39 to $20.49).

FRBA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FRBA's 12-month stock price target?

First Bank (FRBA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $18.74 (-3.6% from $19.44), with a bull-case target of $22.11 and a bear-case floor of $14.62.

Is FRBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FRBA D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 50/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FRBA RQD Cockpit FRBA 12M Forecast FRBA Earnings & Move FRBA Dividends & DRIP FRBA Insiders & 13F FRBA Whale Options FRBA Profit Sankey FRBA News & Why