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Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $8.80 (-13.13% 1D, market cap $384.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPI ranks #872 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does FPI compare to CHCT and XRN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FPI carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $373.9M) and XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $404.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPI?

Per FPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001591670), Farmland Partners Inc. generated $52.2M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $17.4M in free cash flow against $719.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is FPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPI last traded at $8.80 (-13.13% on volume of 2,811,358 shares), positioning the stock -16.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.50) and -17.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.71). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $13.23, FPI sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($8.19 to $9.41).

Q: What is FPI's 12-month stock price target?

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.44 (-4.1% from $8.80), with a bull-case target of $13.89 and a bear-case floor of $6.58.

Q: Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FPI D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

$8.80 -13.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.58

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $384.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.58 (-2.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 33.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FPI SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 22.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.47-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.35-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$10.25-14.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$8.80-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPI currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.50) and Max Pain ($9.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FPI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.80: 1136.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.58

$7,477

$-2,523 (-25.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.44

$9,591

$-409 (-4.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.89

$15,784

+$5,784 (+57.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$9	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$13	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$8	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPI)

✓Walkthrough of FPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $8.68H $8.81L $8.35C $8.80VOL 1.86M

RES: $12.35SUP: $7.98SMA50: $10.50SMA200: $10.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPI Butterfly Map → + Track FPI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPI)

Financials Rank #872 of 1096 ⚔️ CHCT vs FPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPI vs. CHCT, XRN, RWT, TCI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) ranks #872 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #761 by equity capitalization ($384.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with FPI at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FPI ACTIVE Farmland Partners Inc.	D	49/100	12.2x	—	5.9%	-13.13%	$384.0M	Benchmark Subject
CHCT Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated	D+	58/100	73.3x	—	1.2%	+2.35%	$373.9M	/chct-vs-fpi →
XRN Chiron Real Estate Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	-1.4%	+6.08%	$404.0M	/xrn-vs-fpi →
RWT Redwood Trust Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-7.1%	-0.92%	$405.7M	/rwt-vs-fpi →
TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.	D-	38/100	31.6x	—	-0.6%	+3.00%	$435.7M	/tci-vs-fpi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001591670

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) reported GAAP revenue of $52.2M (-10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $58.2M , and -9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.5M, operating cash flow of $17.4M, and free cash flow of $17.4M (+8.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPI closed FY2025 with $719.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$52.2M	$31.5M	$17.4M	$17.4M	$719.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$58.2M	$59.9M	$16.1M	$16.1M	$869.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$57.5M	$30.9M	$12.9M	$12.9M	—	—

3. FPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $8.80 (-13.13% 1D, market cap $384.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPI ranks #872 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FPI compare to CHCT and XRN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FPI carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $373.9M) and XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $404.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPI?

Per FPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001591670), Farmland Partners Inc. generated $52.2M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $17.4M in free cash flow against $719.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPI last traded at $8.80 (-13.13% on volume of 2,811,358 shares), positioning the stock -16.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.50) and -17.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.71). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $13.23, FPI sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($8.19 to $9.41).

FPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FPI's 12-month stock price target?

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.44 (-4.1% from $8.80), with a bull-case target of $13.89 and a bear-case floor of $6.58.

Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FPI D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FPI RQD Cockpit FPI 12M Forecast FPI Earnings & Move FPI Dividends & DRIP FPI Insiders & 13F FPI Whale Options FPI Profit Sankey FPI News & Why