First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$16.98 +1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $278.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$20 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE FNRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FNRN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.98: 588.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.71
$7,485
$-2,515 (-25.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.29
$9,594
$-406 (-4.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.21
$11,902
+$1,902 (+19.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1558%C
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNRN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FNRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FNRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.13H $17.37L $16.98C $16.98VOL 67.5K
RES: $18.91SUP: $15.72SMA50: $17.08SMA200: $16.36
$19.70$17.84$15.98$14.12$12.26RES $18.91SUP $15.72$16.982026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNRN)

Financials Rank #873 of 1096 ⚔️ WNEB vs FNRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNRN vs. WNEB, BCBP, CZWI, WSBF)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) ranks #873 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #827 by equity capitalization ($278.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WSBF leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while CZWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. WNEB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with FNRN at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNRN ACTIVE
First Northern Community Bancorp
D 49/100 — — 0.0% +1.19% $278.4M Benchmark Subject
WNEB
Western New England Bancorp Inc.
C 63/100 18.5x — 6.2% +2.40% $282.2M /wneb-vs-fnrn →
BCBP
BCB Bancorp Inc. (NJ)
D 49/100 — — -4.1% +0.47% $264.8M /bcbp-vs-fnrn →
CZWI
Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.
C- 60/100 15.8x — 7.7% -0.38% $228.4M /czwi-vs-fnrn →
WSBF
Waterstone Financial Inc. (MD)
D+ 58/100 13.5x — 7.6% +0.30% $356.5M /wsbf-vs-fnrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001114927

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $21.1K, operating cash flow of $6.9M, and free cash flow of $5.2M (-72.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNRN closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $21.1K $6.9M $5.2M $1.91B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $20.0K $19.5M $19.2M $1.89B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $21.6K $27.3M $27.3M — —

3. FNRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Northern Community Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNRN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $16.98 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $278.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNRN ranks #873 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNRN compare to WNEB and BCBP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FNRN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, WNEB (Western New England Bancorp Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $282.2M) and BCBP (BCB Bancorp Inc. (NJ)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $264.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WSBF leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while CZWI leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNRN?

Per FNRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001114927), First Northern Community Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, $21.1K in net income, and $5.2M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNRN last traded at $16.98 (+1.19% on volume of 81,389 shares), positioning the stock -0.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.08) and +3.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.36). Across its 52-week range of $12.15 to $19.25, FNRN sits at the 68.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($16.00 to $17.96).

FNRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FNRN's 12-month stock price target?

First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $16.29 (-4.1% from $16.98), with a bull-case target of $20.21 and a bear-case floor of $12.71.

Is FNRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FNRN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

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