First Bancorp Inc (ME) (FNLC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$36.56 +0.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.54

First Bancorp Inc (ME) (FNLC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $412.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.54 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$45 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE FNLC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNLC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FNLC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.9% FCF Margin ($34.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$32.97+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$34.37+5.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$36.36+0.6% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$36.56+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FNLC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, FNLC faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.64) or 200D SMA ($31.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.37) toward Bear Floor ($29.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNLC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FNLC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$2.16 Expected Swing
$34.40 (-5.9%)Spot $36.56$38.72 (+5.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FNLC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $3.05 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$34.4M$34.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$27.0M$24.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$29.5M$36.9M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FNLC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FNLC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FNLC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.46%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $36.93H $37.02L $36.18C $36.56VOL 25.9K
RES: $37.22SUP: $31.67SMA50: $34.64SMA200: $31.40
$38.24$35.16$32.08$29.00$25.92RES $37.22SUP $31.67$36.562026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNLC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNLC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNLC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNLC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNLC)

Financials Rank #192 of 1096 ⚔️ PCB vs FNLC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNLC vs. PCB, CZFS, FCBM, CHMG)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Bancorp Inc (ME) (FNLC) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #741 by equity capitalization ($412.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PCB leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while FNLC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and — gross margin. FNLC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNLC ACTIVE
First Bancorp Inc (ME)
C+ 69/100 12.0x — 12.1% +0.77% $412.5M Benchmark Subject
PCB
PCB Bancorp
C+ 67/100 10.9x — 9.6% +0.45% $408.7M /pcb-vs-fnlc →
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services Inc.
C 64/100 11.2x — 10.8% +1.26% $408.4M /czfs-vs-fnlc →
FCBM
First Carolina Financial Services Inc.
D 50/100 — — — +0.61% $407.3M /fcbm-vs-fnlc →
CHMG
Chemung Financial Corp
C+ 68/100 28.0x — 5.9% +2.10% $422.4M /chmg-vs-fnlc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000765207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Bancorp Inc (ME) (FNLC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $34.4M, operating cash flow of $37.8M, and free cash flow of $34.6M (+40.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNLC closed FY2025 with $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $34.4M $37.8M $34.6M $3.17B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $27.0M $26.0M $24.6M $3.16B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $29.5M $36.9M $36.9M — —

3. FNLC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Bancorp Inc (ME) (NASDAQ: FNLC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $36.56 (+0.77% 1D, market cap $412.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNLC ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNLC compare to PCB and CZFS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FNLC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.1%. By comparison, PCB (PCB Bancorp) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $408.7M) and CZFS (Citizens Financial Services Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $408.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCB leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while FNLC leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNLC?

Per FNLC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000765207), First Bancorp Inc (ME) generated $0 in revenue, $34.4M in net income, and $34.6M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNLC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNLC last traded at $36.56 (+0.77% on volume of 30,626 shares), positioning the stock +5.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.64) and +16.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.40). Across its 52-week range of $24.61 to $37.50, FNLC sits at the 92.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($34.40 to $38.72).

FNLC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FNLC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, First Bancorp Inc (ME) (FNLC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FNLC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for FNLC, spanning a range between $34.4 and $38.72.

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