MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why FNKO Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.69 +1.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.70
Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $374.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.70 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNKO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FNKO SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (33% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.7% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$6.44+3% Next Q
32
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$6.63+3% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$6.83-2% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade D-$6.69-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FNKO Turnaround Squeeze
While FNKO currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.11) and Max Pain ($7.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.72.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNKO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FNKO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FNKO Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) advanced +1.52% to $6.69, trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($2.72 – $7.35). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($2.72 – $7.35) with RSI-14 at 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $6.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FNKO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNKO)
- ✓Walkthrough of FNKO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FNKO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.70%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $6.62H $6.69L $6.26C $6.69VOL 2.32M
RES: $6.99SUP: $5.31SMA50: $6.11SMA200: $5.12
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FNKO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNKO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNKO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNKO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNKO)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #824 of 1011
⚔️ JAKK vs FNKO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FNKO vs. JAKK, BBW, JOUT, ESCA)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) ranks #824 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #626 by equity capitalization ($374.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with FNKO at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FNKO
ACTIVE
Funko Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -10.4% | +1.52% | $374.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -0.62% | $372.0M | /jakk-vs-fnko → |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | A- | 83/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +9.18% | $338.5M | /bbw-vs-fnko → |
| JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | 35.1% | -4.5% | +2.30% | $484.4M | /jout-vs-fnko → |
| ESCA Escalade Incorporated | B+ | 79/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | +8.63% | $277.2M | /esca-vs-fnko → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001704711In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) reported GAAP revenue of $908.2M (-13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.05B , and -17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$67.4M, operating cash flow of -$5.1M, and free cash flow of -$38.1M (-142.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNKO closed FY2025 with $685.2M in total assets against $202.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $908.2M | -$67.4M | -$5.1M | -$38.1M | $685.2M | $202.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.05B | -$14.7M | $123.5M | $90.7M | $707.3M | $100.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.10B | -$154.1M | $30.9M | $30.9M | — | — |
3. FNKO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FNKO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Funko Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FNKO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $6.69 (+1.52% 1D, market cap $374.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FNKO ranks #824 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FNKO compare to JAKK and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), FNKO carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.4%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $338.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNKO?
Per FNKO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704711), Funko Inc. (Class A) generated $908.2M in revenue (-13.5% YoY), -$67.4M in net income, and -$38.1M in free cash flow against $685.2M in total assets and $202.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FNKO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FNKO last traded at $6.69 (+1.52% on volume of 796,173 shares), positioning the stock +9.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.11) and +30.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.12). Across its 52-week range of $2.72 to $7.35, FNKO sits at the 85.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($6.04 to $7.34).
FNKO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FNKO stock moving today?
Why FNKO Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.