Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.68 +0.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.67

Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $596.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (NASDAQ: FLGT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $21.68 (+0.74% 1D, market cap $596.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FLGT ranks #676 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLGT compare to YDES and LMRI in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), FLGT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.6%, and ROIC of -6.8%. By comparison, YDES (YD Bio Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $415.8M) and LMRI (Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUP leads on earnings multiple (68.2x) while TRUP leads on capital efficiency (3.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLGT?
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Per FLGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674930), Fulgent Genetics Inc. generated $322.7M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$60.5M in net income, and -$124.2M in free cash flow against $1.21B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.67 (-0.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (12)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$33 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE FLGT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLGT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLGT SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$21.47-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$20.10+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$20.22+7.2% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$21.68-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLGT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLGT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.80) and Max Pain ($22.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLGT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLGT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
56.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.44>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE47% OF RANGE
L: $13$21.68H: $31
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FLGT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-6.8% ROIC with 40.6% gross margin and -20.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 4.44 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FLGT
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLGT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FLGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLGT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $21.52H $21.68L $21.52C $21.68VOL 210.3K
RES: $23.79SUP: $19.35SMA50: $20.80SMA200: $19.34
$23.38$20.88$18.38$15.88$13.37RES $23.79SUP $19.35$21.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLGT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLGT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLGT)

Health Care Rank #676 of 1016 ⚔️ YDES vs FLGT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FLGT vs. YDES, LMRI, CSTL, TRUP)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) ranks #676 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #421 by equity capitalization ($596.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRUP leads on earnings valuation at 68.2x trailing P/E, while TRUP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.1% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. CSTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with FLGT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLGT ACTIVE
Fulgent Genetics Inc.
D- 35/100 — 40.6% -6.8% +0.74% $596.5M Benchmark Subject
YDES
YD Bio Limited
D 44/100 — 28.1% -20.0% -6.53% $415.8M /ydes-vs-flgt →
LMRI
Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +0.95% $1.13B /lmri-vs-flgt →
CSTL
Castle Biosciences Inc.
C 63/100 — 79.4% -9.3% +4.99% $1.18B /cstl-vs-flgt →
TRUP
Trupanion Inc.
C 63/100 68.2x 16.1% 3.1% +2.27% $1.32B /trup-vs-flgt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001674930

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) reported GAAP revenue of $322.7M (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $283.5M , and +11.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.5M, operating cash flow of -$101.6M, and free cash flow of -$124.2M (-545.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLGT closed FY2025 with $1.21B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.44, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $322.7M -$60.5M -$101.6M -$124.2M $1.21B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $283.5M -$42.7M $21.1M -$19.3M $1.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $289.2M -$167.8M $27.0M $27.0M — —

3. FLGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (NASDAQ: FLGT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $21.68 (+0.74% 1D, market cap $596.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FLGT ranks #676 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLGT compare to YDES and LMRI in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), FLGT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.6%, and ROIC of -6.8%. By comparison, YDES (YD Bio Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $415.8M) and LMRI (Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUP leads on earnings multiple (68.2x) while TRUP leads on capital efficiency (3.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLGT?

Per FLGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674930), Fulgent Genetics Inc. generated $322.7M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$60.5M in net income, and -$124.2M in free cash flow against $1.21B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLGT last traded at $21.68 (+0.74% on volume of 210,296 shares), positioning the stock +4.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.80) and +12.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.34). Across its 52-week range of $13.46 to $31.04, FLGT sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($19.79 to $23.57).

FLGT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FLGT stock right now?

Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 35/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FLGT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FLGT's 12-month base price target is $19.44 (range $15.16 to $32.59), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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