MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why FIRY Stock surged +9.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$13.42 +9.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.62
Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $223.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.62 (+1.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIRY SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (35% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$12.07-4.9% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$11.48-0.4% Next Q
38
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$11.43+17.4% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$13.42-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FIRY Turnaround Squeeze
While FIRY currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.21) and Max Pain ($14.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIRY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIRY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FIRY Stock surged +9.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) surged +9.19% to $13.42, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($2.23 – $20). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($2.23 – $20) with RSI-14 at 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $13.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 87.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FIRY Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FIRY)
- ✓Walkthrough of FIRY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FIRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +66.50%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $13.14H $13.42L $11.94C $13.42VOL 247.6K
RES: $13.77SUP: $10.75SMA50: $11.21SMA200: $7.52
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FIRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIRY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIRY)
Technology Rank #506 of 714
⚔️ MOVE vs FIRY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FIRY vs. MOVE, ASUR, DMRC, RDNW)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) ranks #506 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #469 by equity capitalization ($223.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIRY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RDNW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.1% ROIC and 27.5% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with FIRY at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIRY
ACTIVE
Firy Inc. (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | 87.5% | -35.0% | +9.19% | $223.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| MOVE Corvex Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -1.23% | $227.8M | /move-vs-firy → |
| ASUR Asure Software Inc | D | 50/100 | — | 67.5% | -2.8% | 0.00% | $217.5M | /asur-vs-firy → |
| DMRC Digimarc Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +1.62% | $237.2M | /dmrc-vs-firy → |
| RDNW RideNow Group Inc. (Class B) | D- | 35/100 | — | 27.5% | -0.1% | -1.68% | $205.6M | /rdnw-vs-firy → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001801661In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) reported GAAP revenue of $104.5M (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $92.9M , and -31.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$70.4M, operating cash flow of -$68.9M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (-808.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIRY closed FY2025 with $293.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $104.5M | -$70.4M | -$68.9M | -$70.3M | $293.5M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $92.9M | -$46.8M | -$7.1M | -$7.7M | $374.3M | $125.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $152.1M | -$101.4M | -$71.8M | -$71.8M | — | — |
3. FIRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FIRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Firy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FIRY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $13.42 (+9.19% 1D, market cap $223.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FIRY ranks #506 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FIRY compare to MOVE and ASUR in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), FIRY carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOVE (Corvex Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.8M) and ASUR (Asure Software Inc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $217.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIRY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RDNW leads on capital efficiency (-0.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIRY?
Per FIRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801661), Firy Inc. (Class A) generated $104.5M in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$70.4M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $293.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FIRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FIRY last traded at $13.42 (+9.19% on volume of 409,486 shares), positioning the stock +19.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.21) and +78.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.52). Across its 52-week range of $2.23 to $20.00, FIRY sits at the 63.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.74 to $15.10).
FIRY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FIRY stock moving today?
Why FIRY Stock surged +9.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.