FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling
While FIP currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.97) and Max Pain ($3.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) surged +2.13% to $2.87, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($2.23 – $6.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Even if a company is profitable, it doesn’t always mean it’s a great investment. Some struggle to maintain growth, face looming threats, or fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their future potential.
The end of an earnings season can be a great time to discover new stocks and assess how companies are handling the current business environment. Let’s take a look at how FTAI Infrastructure (NASDAQ:FIP) and the rest of t
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +51.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) ranks #377 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #319 by equity capitalization ($339.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with FIP at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIP
ACTIVE
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | — | +2.13% | $339.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| RAIL FreightCar America Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -0.12% | $137.1M | /rail-vs-fip → |
| GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc. | B | 73/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +2.80% | $1.19B | /gbx-vs-fip → |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | B | 73/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +10.80% | $2.26B | /trn-vs-fip → |
| RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share | D- | 41/100 | — | 37.1% | -35.0% | -4.53% | $6.5M | /rvsn-vs-fip → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) reported GAAP revenue of $502.5M (+51.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $331.5M , and +56.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$118.0M, and free cash flow of -$398.5M (-320.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIP closed FY2025 with $5.75B in total assets against $3.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $502.5M | $0 | -$118.0M | -$398.5M | $5.75B | $3.71B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $331.5M | $0 | -$15.3M | -$94.8M | $2.37B | $1.54B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $320.5M | $0 | $5.5M | $5.5M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: FIP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.87 (+2.13% 1D, market cap $339.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FIP ranks #377 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), FIP carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.5%, cap $137.1M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per FIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899883), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. generated $502.5M in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$398.5M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $3.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
FIP last traded at $2.87 (+2.13% on volume of 1,498,123 shares), positioning the stock -3.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.97) and -36.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.52). Across its 52-week range of $2.23 to $6.69, FIP sits at the 14.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.51 to $3.23).
Why FIP Stock surged +2.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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