RISK WATCHReuters • 52m ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
Why FERG Stock surged +4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$240.45 +4.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $46.52B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FERG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FERG Stock surged +4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) surged +4.21% to $240.45, trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($212.13 – $271.64). Solid 31% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 25x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($212.13 – $271.64) with RSI-14 at 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $240.45 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 30.7% gross margin and $523.7M annual free cash flow.
Live FERG Headlines & Catalysts
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FERG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.80%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-01O $230.7H $240.5L $230.7C $240.5VOL 952.1K
RES: $233.6SUP: $212.2SMA50: $224.9SMA200: $237.4
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FERG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FERG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FERG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FERG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FERG)
Industrials Rank #42 of 166
⚔️ FIX vs FERG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FERG vs. FIX, CARR, PYPL, HEI)
Industry: Miscellaneous (1 Tracked Issuers)Across 166 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #37 by equity capitalization ($46.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PYPL leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while FERG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and 30.7% gross margin. PYPL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with FERG at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG
ACTIVE
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 25.1x | 30.7% | 22.2% | +4.21% | $46.52B | Benchmark Subject |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 45.4x | — | 4.5% | -1.45% | $46.40B | /fix-vs-ferg → |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | 30.9x | — | 7.2% | -1.30% | $45.78B | /carr-vs-ferg → |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc. | B | 74/100 | 9.0x | — | 21.6% | +0.71% | $47.31B | /pypl-vs-ferg → |
| HEI Heico Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 66.1x | 39.8% | 13.6% | +5.00% | $45.61B | /hei-vs-ferg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0002011641In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) reported GAAP revenue of $30.76B (+3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $29.64B , and +3.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.86B, operating cash flow of $1.91B, and free cash flow of $523.7M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FERG closed FY2025 with $17.15B in total assets against $3.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.66, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-07-31 | $30.76B | $1.86B | $1.91B | $523.7M | $17.15B | $3.98B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-07-31 | $29.64B | $1.74B | $1.87B | $539.4M | $16.53B | $3.95B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-07-31 | $29.73B | $1.89B | $2.72B | $1.38B | $35.68B | $8.35B |
3. FERG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FERG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: FERG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $240.45 (+4.21% 1D, market cap $46.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 166 tracked Industrials issuers, FERG ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FERG compare to FIX and CARR in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Miscellaneous), FERG carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.1x, gross margin of 30.7%, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, FIX (Comfort Systems USA Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 45.4x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $46.40B) and CARR (Carrier Global Corporation) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 30.9x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $45.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PYPL leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while FERG leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FERG?
Per FERG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0002011641), Ferguson Enterprises Inc. generated $30.76B in revenue (+3.8% YoY), $1.86B in net income, and $523.7M in free cash flow against $17.15B in total assets and $3.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FERG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FERG last traded at $240.45 (+4.21% on volume of 952,128 shares), positioning the stock +6.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($224.92) and +1.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($237.43). Across its 52-week range of $212.13 to $271.64, FERG sits at the 47.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($226.50 to $254.40).
FERG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FERG stock moving today?
Why FERG Stock surged +4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 31% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 25x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.