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Stock Ratings / Health Care / FENC / options
AGMB (45) TRXB (47) ZURA (29) TECX (30) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.24 -6.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.10

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $383.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FENC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: FENC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $10.24 (-6.48% 1D, market cap $383.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FENC ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FENC compare to AGMB and TRXB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), FENC carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -25.9%. By comparison, AGMB (AgomAb Therapeutics NV) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $391.5M) and TRXB (TRex Bio Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $371.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FENC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FENC leads on capital efficiency (-25.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FENC?
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Per FENC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001211583), Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $44.6M in revenue (-6.1% YoY), -$9.74B in net income, and -$12.5M in free cash flow against $70.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.10 (-1.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (7)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$14 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE FENC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FENC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FENC SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$10.72-4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$10.27-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$10.15+0.9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$10.24-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FENC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FENC currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.93) and Max Pain ($10.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FENC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FENC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±10.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FENC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FENC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FENC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FENC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FENC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +53.98%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $10.87H $10.95L $10.24C $10.24VOL 180.6K
RES: $11.17SUP: $9.96SMA50: $10.93SMA200: $9.22
$13.72$11.78$9.84$7.90$5.96RES $11.17SUP $9.96$10.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FENC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FENC Butterfly Map → + Track FENC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FENC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FENC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FENC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FENC)

Health Care Rank #610 of 1016 ⚔️ AGMB vs FENC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FENC vs. AGMB, TRXB, ZURA, TECX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) ranks #610 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #486 by equity capitalization ($383.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FENC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FENC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. TRXB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with FENC at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FENC ACTIVE
Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -25.9% -6.48% $383.6M Benchmark Subject
AGMB
AgomAb Therapeutics NV
D 45/100 — — — -5.79% $391.5M /agmb-vs-fenc →
TRXB
TRex Bio Inc.
D 47/100 — — — +1.63% $371.1M /trxb-vs-fenc →
ZURA
Zura Bio Limited (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +4.93% $370.9M /zura-vs-fenc →
TECX
Tectonic Therapeutic Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -3.51% $400.8M /tecx-vs-fenc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001211583

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) reported GAAP revenue of $44.6M (-6.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.5M , and +110.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.74B, operating cash flow of -$12.5M, and free cash flow of -$12.5M (-146.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FENC closed FY2025 with $70.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.31, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $44.6M -$9.74B -$12.5M -$12.5M $70.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $47.5M -$436.0M $27.0M $27.0M $44.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $21.3M -$16.05B -$17.1M -$17.1M — —

3. FENC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: FENC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $10.24 (-6.48% 1D, market cap $383.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FENC ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FENC compare to AGMB and TRXB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), FENC carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -25.9%. By comparison, AGMB (AgomAb Therapeutics NV) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $391.5M) and TRXB (TRex Bio Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $371.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FENC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FENC leads on capital efficiency (-25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FENC?

Per FENC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001211583), Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $44.6M in revenue (-6.1% YoY), -$9.74B in net income, and -$12.5M in free cash flow against $70.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FENC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FENC last traded at $10.24 (-6.48% on volume of 195,661 shares), positioning the stock -6.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.93) and +11.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.22). Across its 52-week range of $5.65 to $13.25, FENC sits at the 60.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($9.18 to $11.30).

FENC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FENC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FENC.

Direct Sub-Reports: FENC RQD Cockpit FENC 12M Forecast FENC Earnings & Move FENC Dividends & DRIP FENC Insiders & 13F FENC Whale Options FENC Profit Sankey FENC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FENC — Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FENC scores 37 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -25.9% and FCF yield is -3.25%. The cash-generation pillar is weak, indicating the business is currently consuming capital rather than returning it.
  • Whale 13F Flow (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar, though the source data provides no 13F holder detail to verify it (see Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction (3 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is the lowest-scoring pillar, suggesting limited insider buying conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. The stock carries market-level risk without a demonstrated defensive profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (7 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.31, Piotroski F is 2 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Altman reading sits in a range often associated with lower distress risk, but the weak Piotroski score signals deteriorating fundamental quality.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies that negative returns on capital and negative free cash flow are the central concern. The upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and any operational turnaround; the valuation tradeoff is that the current price of $10.95 cannot be anchored to earnings, since P/E is not available in source data. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry, per the company profile. The profile provides no detail on specific products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $44.6M in FY 2025, $47.5M in FY 2024, and $21.3M in FY 2023. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, end customers, and how the company monetizes them.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$44.6M$-6.3M$-9741.0MN/A$-12.5M$36.8MN/A
FY 2024$47.5M$2.6M$-436.0MN/A$27.0M$26.6MN/A
FY 2023$21.3M$-12.8M$-16045.0MN/A$-17.1MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is -14.1%, net margin is -60%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -25.9%, the Altman Z-Score is 3.31, and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9. Per the SEC financials, FY 2024 was the only reported period with positive operating income and positive free cash flow. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating; reported debt figures are N/A across all periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items were reported, all tagged YELLOW with a "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Headlines include a seasonal returns chart, a H.C. Wainwright note maintaining a Buy rating with a $16 target price, a TradingView note citing an FENC Q3'26 revenue estimate of 18.91M USD, and a Stock Traders Daily piece on algorithmic entry frameworks. Summaries are generic and do not contain substantive operating detail. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals were recorded. Risk watch items: the Q3'26 revenue estimate is an external estimate and the source data does not confirm it against reported results.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is recorded as NONE and no butterfly links exist. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation metrics. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped dependencies means second-order risks (such as concentration in a single supplier or partner) cannot be assessed from the provided data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products and their regulatory and commercial status?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-9741.0M, and is it consistent with the reported operating loss of $-6.3M?
  • What is the debt position, given that debt is reported as N/A for every period?
  • Is the $36.8M cash balance sufficient to fund the FY 2025 free cash flow deficit of $-12.5M?
  • What institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the 13F and Form 4 pillar scores?

FENC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (FENC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FENC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FENC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.24?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FENC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FENC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.64 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FENC (D- • RQD 37/100) a Buy at $10.95?

Welcome to the FENC (Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.76 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $10.95

Pump the brakes on FENC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FENC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.47 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $10.95

FENC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FENC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.95 (52-wk range $5.65 - $13.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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