Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 (FEDU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.30 -10.40% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.09

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 (FEDU) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $23.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.09 (-2.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 9.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$15 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FEDU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FEDU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FEDU SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($3.5M FCF) & 25.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$11.19-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$10.64-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$10.48-1.7% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$10.30-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (65) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FEDU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, FEDU faces multiple-compression risk if 5.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 23.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.20) or 200D SMA ($10.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.25) toward Bear Floor ($8.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FEDUβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFEDU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FEDU)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FEDU.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FEDU)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FEDU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FEDU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.36%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $9.60H $10.30L $9.60C $10.30VOL 200
RES: $14.23SUP: $9.18SMA50: $10.20SMA200: $10.05
$14.39$12.33$10.27$8.21$6.15RES $14.23SUP $9.18$10.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FEDU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FEDU today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FEDU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FEDU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FEDU)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (FEDU vs. YQ, STG, YOUL, EDTK)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 (FEDU) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #37 by equity capitalization ($23.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FEDU ACTIVE
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10
D+ 57/100 5.2x 25.8% β€” -10.40% $23.3M Benchmark Subject
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 47.7% -35.0% -9.15% $29.1M /yq-vs-fedu β†’
STG
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $32.7M /stg-vs-fedu β†’
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 47/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -10.41% $36.3M /youl-vs-fedu β†’
EDTK
Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Limited Ordinary Share
D- 42/100 β€” 50.5% β€” +0.03% $14.3M /edtk-vs-fedu β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-02-28 β€’ CIK 0001709819

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 (FEDU) reported GAAP revenue of $37.1M (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.5M , and +112.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.5M, operating cash flow of $4.4M, and free cash flow of $3.5M (+167.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FEDU closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $37.1M $4.5M $4.4M $3.5M β€” β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-28 $34.5M $111.0K $2.7M -$5.1M β€” β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-29 $17.4M $690.0K $2.3M $2.3M β€” β€”

3. FEDU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FEDU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 (NYSE: FEDU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $10.30 (-10.40% 1D, market cap $23.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, FEDU ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FEDU compare to YQ and STG in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), FEDU carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of β€”. By comparison, YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M) and STG (Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 80.4%, cap $32.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FEDU?

Per FEDU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001709819), Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 generated $37.1M in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $4.5M in net income, and $3.5M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FEDU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FEDU last traded at $10.30 (-10.40% on volume of 4,440 shares), positioning the stock +0.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.20) and +2.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.68 to $14.50, FEDU sits at the 46.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($9.01 to $11.59).

FEDU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is FEDU's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FEDU.

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