Stock Ratings / Financials / FCBM / insiders

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First Carolina Financial Services Inc. (FCBM) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$13.11 +0.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.10

First Carolina Financial Services Inc. (FCBM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $407.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.10 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FCBM SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($11.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.74-0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.72+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$12.94+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.11-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FCBM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FCBM currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.74) and Max Pain ($13.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FCBM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FCBM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FCBM Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FCBM)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FCBM. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FCBM)

✓Walkthrough of FCBM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FCBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.05%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $13.10H $13.20L $12.88C $13.11VOL 97.6K

RES: $13.47SUP: $12.55SMA50: $12.74SMA200: $12.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FCBM Butterfly Map → + Track FCBM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCBM)

Financials Rank #859 of 1096 ⚔️ CZFS vs FCBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FCBM vs. CZFS, PCB, FNLC, GBC)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Carolina Financial Services Inc. (FCBM) ranks #859 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #744 by equity capitalization ($407.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PCB leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while FNLC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and — gross margin. FNLC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with FCBM at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FCBM ACTIVE First Carolina Financial Services Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.61%	$407.3M	Benchmark Subject
CZFS Citizens Financial Services Inc.	C	64/100	11.2x	—	10.8%	+1.26%	$408.4M	/czfs-vs-fcbm →
PCB PCB Bancorp	C+	67/100	10.9x	—	9.6%	+0.45%	$408.7M	/pcb-vs-fcbm →
FNLC First Bancorp Inc (ME)	C+	69/100	12.0x	—	12.1%	+0.77%	$412.5M	/fnlc-vs-fcbm →
GBC Georgia Banking Company Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$395.8M	/gbc-vs-fcbm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001531193

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Carolina Financial Services Inc. (FCBM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, FCBM closed FY2025 with $3.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$3.32B	—

3. FCBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Carolina Financial Services Inc. (NYSE: FCBM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $13.11 (+0.61% 1D, market cap $407.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FCBM ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCBM compare to CZFS and PCB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FCBM carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CZFS (Citizens Financial Services Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $408.4M) and PCB (PCB Bancorp) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $408.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCB leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while FNLC leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCBM?

Per FCBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001531193), First Carolina Financial Services Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $3.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCBM last traded at $13.11 (+0.61% on volume of 170,358 shares), positioning the stock +2.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.74) and +3.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.72). Across its 52-week range of $12.17 to $13.40, FCBM sits at the 76.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($12.61 to $13.61).

FCBM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are FCBM insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FCBM leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: FCBM RQD Cockpit FCBM 12M Forecast FCBM Earnings & Move FCBM Dividends & DRIP FCBM Insiders & 13F FCBM Whale Options FCBM Profit Sankey FCBM News & Why