Why FCBC Stock slipped -1.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$46.28 -1.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.07

First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) (FCBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $875.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.07 (-0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$53 Bull$45 Base$35 Bear
📬 FREE FCBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FCBC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.6% FCF Margin ($62.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$47.34+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$48.80-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$48.54-4.7% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$46.28-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FCBC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FCBC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.94) and Max Pain ($48.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $53.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FCBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FCBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FCBC Stock slipped -1.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) (FCBC) slipped -1.45% to $46.28, trading at 79% of its 52-week range ($31.21 – $50.17). Stretched risk/reward at 73x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 79% of its 52-week range ($31.21 – $50.17) with RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $46.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $62.7M annual free cash flow.
Live FCBC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates

Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +2.98% and -1.19%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FCBC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FCBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FCBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $46.76H $47.34L $46.07C $46.28VOL 135.4K
RES: $49.92SUP: $46.02SMA50: $47.94SMA200: $43.88
$51.10$47.24$43.38$39.52$35.66RES $49.92SUP $46.02$46.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
47.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCBC)

Financials Rank #764 of 1096 ⚔️ CCBG vs FCBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FCBC vs. CCBG, ORRF, MPB, GSBC)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) (FCBC) ranks #764 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #580 by equity capitalization ($875.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORRF leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while ORRF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ORRF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FCBC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FCBC ACTIVE
First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA)
D+ 52/100 72.8x — 2.4% -1.45% $875.2M Benchmark Subject
CCBG
Capital City Bank Group
B 72/100 14.2x — 11.1% +0.73% $875.9M /ccbg-vs-fcbc →
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services Inc.
B 75/100 10.8x — 13.7% +0.68% $874.1M /orrf-vs-fcbc →
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
B- 71/100 15.4x — 6.9% +0.21% $868.7M /mpb-vs-fcbc →
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp Inc.
B 72/100 12.4x — 11.2% +0.63% $881.9M /gsbc-vs-fcbc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000859070

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) (FCBC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $12.0M, operating cash flow of $62.7M, and free cash flow of $62.7M (+8.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCBC closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $12.0M $62.7M $62.7M $3.26B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $11.8M $57.7M $57.7M $3.26B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $48.0M $61.8M $61.8M — —

3. FCBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) (NASDAQ: FCBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $46.28 (-1.45% 1D, market cap $875.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FCBC ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCBC compare to CCBG and ORRF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FCBC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 72.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, CCBG (Capital City Bank Group) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $875.9M) and ORRF (Orrstown Financial Services Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 10.8x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $874.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORRF leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while ORRF leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCBC?

Per FCBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000859070), First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) generated $0 in revenue, $12.0M in net income, and $62.7M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCBC last traded at $46.28 (-1.45% on volume of 183,233 shares), positioning the stock -3.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($47.94) and +5.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.88). Across its 52-week range of $31.21 to $50.17, FCBC sits at the 79.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($43.69 to $48.87).

FCBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FCBC stock moving today?

Why FCBC Stock slipped -1.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 73x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%