MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why EZPW Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$29.11 -1.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.08
EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting (EZPW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (59% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.79B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.08 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EZPW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EZPW SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$31.96+3.3% Next Q
81
Q2 (-2Q)Grade A-$33.00-13% Next Q
78
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$28.70+1.4% Next Q
76
CurrentGrade B$29.11+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EZPW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, EZPW faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.58) or 200D SMA ($29.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.07) toward Bear Floor ($23.87).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EZPW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EZPW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EZPW Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting (EZPW) slipped -1.99% to $29.11, trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($16.5 – $37.13). High-quality cash engine (59% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($16.5 – $37.13) with RSI-14 at 34.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $29.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 58.5% gross margin and $149.0M annual free cash flow.
Live EZPW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EZPW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EZPW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.20%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $28.88H $29.11L $27.71C $29.11VOL 1.06M
RES: $33.76SUP: $24.98SMA50: $31.58SMA200: $29.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EZPW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EZPW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EZPW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EZPW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EZPW)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #111 of 1011
⚔️ ARHS vs EZPW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EZPW vs. ARHS, SBH, BOBS, SVV)
Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting (EZPW) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #430 by equity capitalization ($1.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBH leads on earnings valuation at 8.7x trailing P/E, while ARHS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 42.6% ROIC and 38.9% gross margin. SBH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with EZPW at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EZPW
ACTIVE
EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting | B | 73/100 | 16.3x | 58.5% | 10.5% | -1.99% | $1.79B | Benchmark Subject |
| ARHS Arhaus Inc. (Class A) | B+ | 78/100 | 26.8x | 38.9% | 42.6% | +10.33% | $1.80B | /arhs-vs-ezpw → |
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.) | B+ | 79/100 | 8.7x | 51.6% | 38.9% | +4.71% | $1.71B | /sbh-vs-ezpw → |
| BOBS Bob's Discount Furniture Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +2.95% | $2.15B | /bobs-vs-ezpw → |
| SVV Savers Value Village Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 64.5x | — | 9.3% | +5.70% | $1.46B | /svv-vs-ezpw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000876523In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting (EZPW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (+9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.16B , and +21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $109.6M, operating cash flow of $149.0M, and free cash flow of $149.0M (+31.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, EZPW closed FY2025 with $1.99B in total assets against $518.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.10, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $1.27B | $109.6M | $149.0M | $149.0M | $1.99B | $518.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $1.16B | $83.1M | $113.6M | $113.6M | $1.50B | $224.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $1.05B | $38.5M | $101.8M | $101.8M | — | — |
3. EZPW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EZPW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting (NASDAQ: EZPW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $29.11 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $1.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EZPW ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EZPW compare to ARHS and SBH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), EZPW carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of 58.5%, and ROIC of 10.5%. By comparison, ARHS (Arhaus Inc. (Class A)) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 42.6%, cap $1.80B) and SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 8.7x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBH leads on earnings multiple (8.7x) while ARHS leads on capital efficiency (42.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EZPW?
Per EZPW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000876523), EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting generated $1.27B in revenue (+9.7% YoY), $109.6M in net income, and $149.0M in free cash flow against $1.99B in total assets and $518.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EZPW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EZPW last traded at $29.11 (-1.99% on volume of 496,723 shares), positioning the stock -7.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.58) and -1.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.61). Across its 52-week range of $16.50 to $37.13, EZPW sits at the 61.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($26.52 to $31.70).
EZPW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EZPW stock moving today?
Why EZPW Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (59% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.