Stock Ratings / Technology / EVLV / dividends

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Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (EVLV) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.85 +1.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86

Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (EVLV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $878.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86 (+0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 12.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVLV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EVLV SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.53-8.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$4.16+11.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.62+5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.85-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EVLV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EVLV currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.79) and Max Pain ($5.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVLV• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EVLV Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.6K

Yr 1

$13.5K

Yr 2

$15.7K

Yr 3

$18.3K

Yr 4

$21.3K

Yr 5

$24.7K

Yr 6

$28.8K

Yr 7

$33.5K

Yr 8

$38.9K

Yr 9

$45.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EVLV)

✓Walkthrough of EVLV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EVLV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $4.82H $4.85L $4.64C $4.85VOL 1.68M

RES: $5.06SUP: $3.80SMA50: $4.79SMA200: $5.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EVLV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EVLV Butterfly Map → + Track EVLV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +40.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVLV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVLV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVLV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVLV)

Technology Rank #347 of 714 ⚔️ MITK vs EVLV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (EVLV vs. MITK, SSYS, CRSR, IMMR)

Industry: Computer peripheral equipment (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (EVLV) ranks #347 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($878.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMMR leads on earnings valuation at 53.6x trailing P/E, while MITK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and — gross margin. MITK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with EVLV at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EVLV ACTIVE Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	54/100	—	51.6%	-35.0%	+1.89%	$878.5M	Benchmark Subject
MITK Mitek Systems Inc.	B-	70/100	94.7x	—	22.7%	-1.07%	$833.0M	/mitk-vs-evlv →
SSYS Stratasys Ltd. (Israel)	E	22/100	—	41.2%	-7.7%	-1.68%	$619.2M	/ssys-vs-evlv →
CRSR Corsair Gaming Inc.	D	49/100	92.8x	28.9%	0.2%	+1.70%	$1.49B	/crsr-vs-evlv →
IMMR Immersion Corporation	C+	66/100	53.6x	—	12.4%	+0.97%	$242.4M	/immr-vs-evlv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805385

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (EVLV) reported GAAP revenue of $145.9M (+40.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $103.9M , and +83.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.1M, operating cash flow of $18.7M, and free cash flow of $18.7M (+160.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EVLV closed FY2025 with $304.4M in total assets against $28.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.13, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$145.9M	-$33.1M	$18.7M	$18.7M	$304.4M	$28.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$103.9M	-$54.0M	-$30.9M	-$30.9M	$268.1M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$79.6M	-$108.0M	-$9.8M	-$9.8M	—	—

3. EVLV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: EVLV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $4.85 (+1.89% 1D, market cap $878.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, EVLV ranks #347 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EVLV compare to MITK and SSYS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer peripheral equipment), EVLV carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MITK (Mitek Systems Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 94.7x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $833.0M) and SSYS (Stratasys Ltd. (Israel)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.7%, cap $619.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMMR leads on earnings multiple (53.6x) while MITK leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVLV?

Per EVLV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805385), Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $145.9M in revenue (+40.5% YoY), -$33.1M in net income, and $18.7M in free cash flow against $304.4M in total assets and $28.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EVLV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EVLV last traded at $4.85 (+1.89% on volume of 1,480,544 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.79) and -14.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $7.75, EVLV sits at the 22.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($4.43 to $5.27).

EVLV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does EVLV pay a dividend and is it safe?

Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A) (EVLV) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: EVLV RQD Cockpit EVLV 12M Forecast EVLV Earnings & Move EVLV Dividends & DRIP EVLV Insiders & 13F EVLV Whale Options EVLV Profit Sankey EVLV News & Why