eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.37 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.28

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.28 (-0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$46 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE ETOR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ETOR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ETOR SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.3% FCF Margin ($52.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$25.90-5.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$24.39-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$23.92-2.3% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$23.37-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ETOR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ETOR currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.30) and Max Pain ($24.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ETOR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ETOR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ETOR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ETOR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ETOR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ETOR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ETOR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $22.94H $23.37L $22.05C $23.37VOL 2.88M
RES: $24.93SUP: $16.56SMA50: $27.30SMA200: $32.75
$44.80$38.63$32.47$26.30$20.14RES $24.93SUP $16.56$23.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ETOR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ETOR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ETOR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ETOR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ETOR)

Financials Rank #865 of 1096 ⚔️ MIY vs ETOR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ETOR vs. MIY, TOP, MUJ, MHD)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) ranks #865 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #436 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ETOR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ETOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. MHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ETOR at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ETOR ACTIVE
eToro Group Ltd. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — -1.02% $1.88B Benchmark Subject
MIY
Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.
C- 59/100 — — — +0.84% $1.79B /miy-vs-etor →
TOP
TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -8.38% $1.77B /top-vs-etor →
MUJ
Blackrock MuniHoldings New Jersey Quality Fund Inc.
D 51/100 — — — +1.42% $1.70B /muj-vs-etor →
MHD
Blackrock MuniHoldings Fund Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — +1.12% $1.61B /mhd-vs-etor →

2. ETOR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) operates in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.88B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ETOR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ETOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ETOR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $23.37 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ETOR ranks #865 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ETOR compare to MIY and TOP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ETOR carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MIY (Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B) and TOP (TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETOR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ETOR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETOR?

For eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #865 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ETOR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ETOR last traded at $23.37 (-1.02% on volume of 842,149 shares), positioning the stock -14.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.30) and -28.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.75). Across its 52-week range of $22.05 to $44.21, ETOR sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($21.85 to $24.89).

ETOR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ETOR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ETOR.

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