Stock Ratings / Technology / ECX / options

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ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ECX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.80 -0.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.80

ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ECX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $306.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.80 (-0.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ECX SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (43% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.85+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.85+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.85-5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.80-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ECX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ECX currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.98) and Max Pain ($0.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ECX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ECX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ECX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ECX)

✓Walkthrough of ECX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ECX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.23%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.81H $0.90L $0.79C $0.80VOL 1.02M

RES: $1.11SUP: $0.69SMA50: $0.98SMA200: $1.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ECX Butterfly Map → + Track ECX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECX)

Technology Rank #686 of 714 ⚔️ RBBN vs ECX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ECX vs. RBBN, ENRD, EGHT, GLOO)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ECX) ranks #686 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #445 by equity capitalization ($306.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EGHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.3% ROIC and 64.6% gross margin. EGHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with ECX at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ECX ACTIVE ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	19.0%	-35.0%	-0.96%	$306.3M	Benchmark Subject
RBBN Ribbon Communications Inc.	D+	56/100	—	49.8%	-0.4%	0.00%	$292.1M	/rbbn-vs-ecx →
ENRD Einride AB	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.45%	$325.7M	/enrd-vs-ecx →
EGHT 8x8 Inc	D+	57/100	—	64.6%	4.3%	+2.25%	$327.9M	/eght-vs-ecx →
GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$272.8M	/gloo-vs-ecx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001861974

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ECX) reported GAAP revenue of $847.9M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $771.5M , and +28.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$66.0M, operating cash flow of -$94.4M, and free cash flow of -$106.6M (-40.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECX closed FY2025 with $662.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$847.9M	-$66.0M	-$94.4M	-$106.6M	$662.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$771.5M	-$129.8M	-$60.0M	-$75.9M	$514.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$662.2M	-$133.3M	-$172.4M	-$172.4M	—	—

3. ECX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ECX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $0.80 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $306.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ECX ranks #686 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECX compare to RBBN and ENRD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), ECX carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RBBN (Ribbon Communications Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $292.1M) and ENRD (Einride AB) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $325.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EGHT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECX?

Per ECX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001861974), ECARX Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $847.9M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), -$66.0M in net income, and -$106.6M in free cash flow against $662.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECX last traded at $0.80 (-0.96% on volume of 571,868 shares), positioning the stock -18.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.98) and -33.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.20). Across its 52-week range of $0.78 to $2.70, ECX sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.90).