Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DRVN / earnings

GT (34) EVGO (35) MNRO (47) GPC (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$12.07 +1.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.09

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.99B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.09 (+0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 17.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRVN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DRVN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.7% FCF Margin ($330.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.72+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$11.92-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.74+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$12.07-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRVN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRVN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.20) and Max Pain ($12.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.17.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRVN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DRVN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 26, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$0.83 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DRVN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 43/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.3%

Model Bullish Setup (43/100)Model Risk Weight (57/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-27	$1.86B	$0	$330.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$1.75B	-$292.5M	$244.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$1.71B	-$745.0M	$228.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRVN)

✓Walkthrough of DRVN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DRVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $12.25H $12.44L $12.07C $12.07VOL 748.9K

RES: $12.13SUP: $11.01SMA50: $12.20SMA200: $13.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DRVN Butterfly Map → + Track DRVN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRVN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRVN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRVN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #777 of 1011 ⚔️ GT vs DRVN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DRVN vs. GT, EVGO, MNRO, GPC)

Industry: Automotive Aftermarket (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) ranks #777 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #418 by equity capitalization ($1.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRVN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DRVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and — gross margin. GPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with DRVN at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DRVN ACTIVE Driven Brands Holdings Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	7.2%	+1.77%	$1.99B	Benchmark Subject
GT The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company	E	34/100	—	18.4%	-35.0%	+0.45%	$1.28B	/gt-vs-drvn →
EVGO EVgo Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	21.0%	-35.0%	-0.80%	$390.0M	/evgo-vs-drvn →
MNRO Monro Inc.	D	47/100	—	35.0%	2.5%	-13.99%	$384.5M	/mnro-vs-drvn →
GPC Genuine Parts Company	D+	55/100	—	36.8%	1.2%	+0.82%	$16.87B	/gpc-vs-drvn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001804745

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.86B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.75B , and +8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $330.5M, and free cash flow of $330.5M (+35.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRVN closed FY2025 with $4.16B in total assets against $1.88B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.61, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-27	$1.86B	$0	$330.5M	$330.5M	$4.16B	$1.88B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$1.75B	-$292.5M	$244.0M	$244.0M	$5.25B	$2.66B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$1.71B	-$745.0M	$228.6M	$228.6M	—	—

3. DRVN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRVN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: DRVN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $12.07 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $1.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DRVN ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRVN compare to GT and EVGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Automotive Aftermarket), DRVN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, GT (The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.28B) and EVGO (EVgo Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $390.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRVN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DRVN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRVN?

Per DRVN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001804745), Driven Brands Holdings Inc. generated $1.86B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $330.5M in free cash flow against $4.16B in total assets and $1.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRVN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRVN last traded at $12.07 (+1.77% on volume of 1,054,159 shares), positioning the stock -1.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.20) and -9.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.29). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.30, DRVN sits at the 30.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($11.24 to $12.90).

DRVN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DRVN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 26, 2026.

How much is DRVN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.9% event move for DRVN, spanning a range between $11.24 and $12.9.

Direct Sub-Reports: DRVN RQD Cockpit DRVN 12M Forecast DRVN Earnings & Move DRVN Dividends & DRIP DRVN Insiders & 13F DRVN Whale Options DRVN Profit Sankey DRVN News & Why