Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.23 -0.90% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.18

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E โ€ข RED ALERT Cap $1.22B
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.18 (-0.35%)๐Ÿงฌ Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) โ€ข 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 ยท E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT โ€ข E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E ยท Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$17 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE DRTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY DRTS SCORES 33/100 (E) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 2/9

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime ร— Technicals: 79% of 52W Range โ€ข RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$14.41-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$12.29+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$13.16+0.5% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$13.23-8.9% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: D (41) โ†’ E (33)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While DRTS currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.26) and Max Pain ($13.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.58.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRTSโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œDRTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
ยฑ9.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DRTS)

โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot) โ€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DRTS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRTS)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of DRTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DRTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.63%โ–ฒ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $12.85H $13.23L $12.70C $13.23VOL 475.3K
RES: $17.19SUP: $12.17SMA50: $14.26SMA200: $10.60
$16.53$13.47$10.40$7.34$4.28RES $17.19SUP $12.17$13.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRTS today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRTS)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DRTS vs. BVS, PRCT, AORT, IRMD)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) ranks #861 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #337 by equity capitalization ($1.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRMD leads on earnings valuation at 48.8x trailing P/E, while IRMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and 76.7% gross margin. IRMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with DRTS at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRTS ACTIVE
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.
E 33/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -0.90% $1.22B Benchmark Subject
BVS
Bioventus Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 55.0x 68.3% 10.4% +1.50% $1.25B /bvs-vs-drts โ†’
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
D 48/100 โ€” 63.7% -35.0% +0.50% $1.16B /prct-vs-drts โ†’
AORT
Artivion Inc.
D+ 54/100 117.0x 64.4% 4.5% +2.27% $1.14B /aort-vs-drts โ†’
IRMD
iRadimed Corporation
C+ 68/100 48.8x 76.7% 37.7% +2.16% $1.10B /irmd-vs-drts โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001871321

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$42.6M, operating cash flow of -$26.7M, and free cash flow of -$32.8M (-48.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRTS closed FY2025 with $105.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$42.6M -$26.7M -$32.8M $105.7M โ€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$31.8M -$19.8M -$22.0M $86.2M โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$29.2M -$18.0M -$18.0M โ€” โ€”

3. DRTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (NASDAQ: DRTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $13.23 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DRTS ranks #861 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRTS compare to BVS and PRCT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), DRTS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of โ€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.25B) and PRCT (PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRMD leads on earnings multiple (48.8x) while IRMD leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRTS?

Per DRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001871321), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. generated $0 in revenue, -$42.6M in net income, and -$32.8M in free cash flow against $105.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRTS last traded at $13.23 (-0.90% on volume of 293,585 shares), positioning the stock -7.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.26) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.60). Across its 52-week range of $3.43 to $15.79, DRTS sits at the 79.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ9.7% ($11.95 to $14.51).

DRTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

What is DRTS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DRTS.

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