Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

$35.16 +1.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.18

Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $445.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.18 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$42 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE DIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIN SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($53.4M FCF) & 40.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$29.35+9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$32.02-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$31.10+13.1% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$35.16+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, DIN faces multiple-compression risk if 26.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.91) or 200D SMA ($31.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.63) toward Bear Floor ($27.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$4.04 Expected Swing
$31.12 (-11.5%)Spot $35.16$39.20 (+11.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DIN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $1.35 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.2%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-28$879.3M$17.1M$53.4M40.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$812.3M$64.9M$94.1M46.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$831.1M$97.2M$131.1M40.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DIN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DIN
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $34.86H $36.07L $34.29C $35.16VOL 961.9K
RES: $37.78SUP: $25.87SMA50: $30.91SMA200: $31.63
$38.59$35.14$31.69$28.23$24.78RES $37.78SUP $25.87$35.162026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #388 of 1011 ⚔️ KRUS vs DIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIN vs. KRUS, LOCO, PTLO, BRCB)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) ranks #388 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #599 by equity capitalization ($445.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LOCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with DIN at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DIN ACTIVE
Dine Brands Global Inc.
C- 61/100 26.0x 40.9% — +1.38% $445.1M Benchmark Subject
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -1.9% +6.59% $424.4M /krus-vs-din →
LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.
C+ 66/100 17.7x — 11.7% +2.40% $467.8M /loco-vs-din →
PTLO
Portillo's Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 17.9x — 4.9% +10.96% $376.7M /ptlo-vs-din →
BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — 1.6% +3.82% $530.3M /brcb-vs-din →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000049754

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) reported GAAP revenue of $879.3M (+8.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $812.3M , and +5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $89.0M, and free cash flow of $53.4M (-43.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIN closed FY2025 with $1.74B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $879.3M $17.1M $89.0M $53.4M $1.74B $1.19B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $812.3M $64.9M $108.2M $94.1M $1.79B $1.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $831.1M $97.2M $131.1M $131.1M — —

3. DIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE: DIN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $35.16 (+1.38% 1D, market cap $445.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIN ranks #388 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIN compare to KRUS and LOCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), DIN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.0x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.4M) and LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $467.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIN?

Per DIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000049754), Dine Brands Global Inc. generated $879.3M in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIN last traded at $35.16 (+1.38% on volume of 2,123,829 shares), positioning the stock +13.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.91) and +11.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.63). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $39.68, DIN sits at the 72.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.1 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($31.12 to $39.20).

DIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DIN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is DIN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for DIN, spanning a range between $31.12 and $39.2.

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