MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why DDL Stock slipped -0.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.93 -0.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $455.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DDL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DDL SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($51.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B+$2.15-1.4% Next Q
74
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$2.12-7.5% Next Q
71
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$1.96-1.5% Next Q
69
CurrentGrade C+$1.93+1.4% Hist 90D α
66
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DDL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, DDL faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.17) or 200D SMA ($2.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.00) toward Bear Floor ($1.56).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DDL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DDL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DDL Stock slipped -0.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) slipped -0.51% to $1.93, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($1.65 – $3.41). Solid steady margins (65% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($1.65 – $3.41) with RSI-14 at 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $1.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $51.2M annual free cash flow.
Live DDL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DDL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DDL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.48%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.95H $1.99L $1.87C $1.93VOL 264.9K
RES: $2.19SUP: $1.98SMA50: $2.17SMA200: $2.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DDL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DDL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DDL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DDL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DDL)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #268 of 1011
⚔️ HNST vs DDL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DDL vs. HNST, QVCG, SFIX, BWMX)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #597 by equity capitalization ($455.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DDL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDL
ACTIVE
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) | C+ | 66/100 | 13.8x | — | 65.3% | -0.51% | $455.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| HNST The Honest Company Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 33.3% | -18.2% | +0.44% | $492.4M | /hnst-vs-ddl → |
| QVCG QVC Group Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 33.6% | -35.0% | -2.19% | $379.0M | /qvcg-vs-ddl → |
| SFIX Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | 44.4% | -33.9% | +2.99% | $368.7M | /sfix-vs-ddl → |
| BWMX Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +2.70% | $674.8M | /bwmx-vs-ddl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001854545In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.16B , and +23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.1M, operating cash flow of $76.6M, and free cash flow of $51.2M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DDL closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.28, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.48B | $33.1M | $76.6M | $51.2M | $1.00B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.16B | $41.7M | $127.3M | $113.8M | $975.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.81B | -$12.9M | -$33.0M | -$33.0M | — | — |
3. DDL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DDL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (NYSE: DDL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $1.93 (-0.51% 1D, market cap $455.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DDL ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DDL compare to HNST and QVCG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), DDL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 65.3%. By comparison, HNST (The Honest Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $492.4M) and QVCG (QVC Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $379.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DDL?
Per DDL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001854545), Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) generated $3.48B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $33.1M in net income, and $51.2M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DDL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DDL last traded at $1.93 (-0.51% on volume of 147,202 shares), positioning the stock -11.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.17) and -20.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.44). Across its 52-week range of $1.65 to $3.41, DDL sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($1.79 to $2.07).
DDL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DDL stock moving today?
Why DDL Stock slipped -0.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (65% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.