Dare Bioscience Inc. (DARE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.68 +0.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.68

Dare Bioscience Inc. (DARE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $13.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.68 (-0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE DARE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DARE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DARE SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$0.77-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$0.73-11% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$0.65+4.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$0.68-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DARE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DARE currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.75) and Max Pain ($0.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DARE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DARE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.09 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.68$0.77 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DARE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 180%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.0M-$13.4M-$10.3M71.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$9.8K-$4.0M$4.9M98%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.8M-$30.2M-$38.9M71.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DARE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DARE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DARE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.18%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $0.70H $0.70L $0.67C $0.68VOL 651.5K
RES: $0.56SUP: $0.62SMA50: $0.75SMA200: $1.58
$4.00$3.09$2.17$1.26$0.35RES $0.56SUP $0.62$0.682026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DARE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DARE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DARE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DARE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DARE)

Health Care Rank #523 of 1016 ⚔️ BFRI vs DARE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DARE vs. BFRI, RKTO, ALLR, LPCN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dare Bioscience Inc. (DARE) ranks #523 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #867 by equity capitalization ($13.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DARE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DARE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 71.3% gross margin. DARE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DARE ACTIVE
Dare Bioscience Inc.
D 44/100 — 71.3% -35.0% +0.22% $13.4M Benchmark Subject
BFRI
Biofrontera Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% +5.09% $13.8M /bfri-vs-dare →
RKTO
Rocket One Inc.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -4.96% $12.8M /rkto-vs-dare →
ALLR
Allarity Therapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -6.32% $14.2M /allr-vs-dare →
LPCN
Lipocine Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% +0.66% $12.5M /lpcn-vs-dare →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001401914

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dare Bioscience Inc. (DARE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.0M (+10429.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.8K , and -63.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$13.4M, operating cash flow of -$9.9M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-309.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DARE closed FY2025 with $32.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.0M -$13.4M -$9.9M -$10.3M $32.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.8K -$4.0M $5.5M $4.9M $22.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.8M -$30.2M -$38.9M -$38.9M — —

3. DARE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DARE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dare Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ: DARE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.68 (+0.22% 1D, market cap $13.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DARE ranks #523 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DARE compare to BFRI and RKTO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), DARE carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BFRI (Biofrontera Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M) and RKTO (Rocket One Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DARE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DARE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DARE?

Per DARE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001401914), Dare Bioscience Inc. generated $1.0M in revenue (+10429.4% YoY), -$13.4M in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $32.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DARE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DARE last traded at $0.68 (+0.22% on volume of 46,862 shares), positioning the stock -9.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.75) and -56.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.58). Across its 52-week range of $0.63 to $3.78, DARE sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.77).

DARE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DARE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Dare Bioscience Inc. (DARE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DARE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for DARE, spanning a range between $1 and $0.77.

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