MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
BNP Paribas Reiterates Outperform on Dana, Lowers Price Target to $34BNP Paribas analyst James Picariello reiterates Dana (NYSE:DAN) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $38 to $34.
Why DAN Stock dropped -2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$24.85 -2.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.69
Dana Incorporated (DAN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.67B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.69 (-0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAN SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$29.34-1.3% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$28.97-7.4% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$26.83-7.4% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$24.85+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, DAN faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.93) or 200D SMA ($31.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.07) toward Bear Floor ($19.55).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DAN Stock dropped -2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dana Incorporated (DAN) dropped -2.47% to $24.85, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($18.96 – $39.56). Solid 8% profit margin (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($18.96 – $39.56) with RSI-14 at 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.6% around $24.85 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 8% gross margin and $512.0M annual free cash flow.
Live DAN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Dana, Lowers Price Target to $32RBC Capital analyst Tom Narayan maintains Dana (NYSE:DAN) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $37 to $32.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
UBS Maintains Buy on Dana, Lowers Price Target to $34UBS analyst Joseph Spak maintains Dana (NYSE:DAN) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $36 to $34.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Dana Incorporated to Participate in Gabelli 50th Annual Automotive SymposiumDana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) announced today it will participate in the Gabelli 50th Annual Automotive Symposium on November 3. Beginning at 4 p.m. EST, members from Dana's senior management team will take part in a fir
RISK WATCHYahoo • 3d ago
Will AI Power Demand Spark a Blowout Quarter for Eaton (ETN) on Nov. 3?Eaton has beaten EPS estimates six straight quarters while data center demand explodes, yet shares have dropped more than 10% in a month. The November 3 report will reveal whether execution is finally catching up to the
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Dana (DAN) Stock Drops After Q3 Earnings Lift Margins But Cash WobblesDana stock dropped 6.3% to US$25.48 on Wednesday after releasing Q3 2026 earnings, even as the headline numbers told a very different story. The supplier posted US$2.038b in revenue for the quarter and moved from prior l
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Dana Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsDana (NYSE:DAN) reported higher third-quarter sales and earnings as commercial vehicle demand, backlog conversion, cost actions and favorable mix supported margin expansion. The company also raised its full-year sales ou
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Dana Incorporated Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of Dana Incorporated's Q3 2026 earnings call
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Dana (DAN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptMargins expanded 220 basis points as cost cuts offset inflation pressures.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Dana Incorporated (DAN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptDana Incorporated (DAN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsCraig Barber - Senior Director of Investor Relations &...
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DAN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.82%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $24.58H $24.85L $22.65C $24.85VOL 2.64M
RES: $29.16SUP: $26.49SMA50: $28.93SMA200: $31.17
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #401 of 1011
⚔️ PATK vs DAN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAN vs. PATK, LCII, VGNT, PHIN)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dana Incorporated (DAN) ranks #401 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #380 by equity capitalization ($2.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PHIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with DAN at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAN
ACTIVE
Dana Incorporated | C- | 60/100 | 31.5x | 8.0% | 29.6% | -2.47% | $2.67B | Benchmark Subject |
| PATK Patrick Industries Inc. | C | 63/100 | 17.9x | 23.1% | 8.9% | +7.51% | $2.41B | /patk-vs-dan → |
| LCII LCI Industries | C | 63/100 | 12.8x | 23.8% | 10.6% | +1.41% | $2.41B | /lcii-vs-dan → |
| VGNT Versigent PLC | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | +2.00% | $3.00B | /vgnt-vs-dan → |
| PHIN PHINIA Inc. | B | 74/100 | 17.2x | 21.9% | 9.1% | +5.86% | $2.24B | /phin-vs-dan → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000026780In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dana Incorporated (DAN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.50B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.73B , and -1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $85.0M, operating cash flow of $512.0M, and free cash flow of $512.0M (+13.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAN closed FY2025 with $7.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $7.50B | $85.0M | $512.0M | $512.0M | $7.81B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.73B | -$57.0M | $450.0M | $450.0M | $7.49B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.61B | $38.0M | $476.0M | $476.0M | — | — |
3. DAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Dana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $24.85 (-2.47% 1D, market cap $2.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAN ranks #401 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DAN compare to PATK and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DAN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 8.0%, and ROIC of 29.6%. By comparison, PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.41B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAN?
Per DAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000026780), Dana Incorporated generated $7.50B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), $85.0M in net income, and $512.0M in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DAN last traded at $24.85 (-2.47% on volume of 2,217,784 shares), positioning the stock -14.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.93) and -20.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.17). Across its 52-week range of $18.96 to $39.56, DAN sits at the 28.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($22.71 to $26.99).
DAN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DAN stock moving today?
Why DAN Stock dropped -2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 8% profit margin (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.