Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DAC / earnings

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Danaos Corporation (DAC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.9% Move

$158.86 +0.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $158.57

Danaos Corporation (DAC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $158.57 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 61.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DAC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 83% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$169.09-6.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$158.17+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$158.34+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$158.86+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, DAC faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($157.75) or 200D SMA ($130.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($163.86) toward Bear Floor ($127.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.9% Swing Band

±$7.78 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DAC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $27.17 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.8%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$494.6M	$644.8M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.01B	$505.1M	$621.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$973.6M	$576.3M	$576.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DAC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DAC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.93%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $158.0H $158.9L $155.5C $158.9VOL 106.6K

RES: $179.6SUP: $159.0SMA50: $157.8SMA200: $130.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DAC Butterfly Map → + Track DAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #280 of 1011 ⚔️ SBLK vs DAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAC vs. SBLK, CDLR, TNK, ZIM)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Danaos Corporation (DAC) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #369 by equity capitalization ($2.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. TNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DAC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DAC ACTIVE Danaos Corporation	C	65/100	5.8x	—	10.9%	+0.05%	$2.89B	Benchmark Subject
SBLK Star Bulk Carriers Corp.	C-	61/100	38.3x	—	5.5%	+0.24%	$3.22B	/sblk-vs-dac →
CDLR Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )	C	62/100	—	—	—	+3.49%	$2.58B	/cdlr-vs-dac →
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.	B-	71/100	—	66.7%	20.1%	+1.95%	$3.51B	/tnk-vs-dac →
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$3.52B	/zim-vs-dac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001369241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Danaos Corporation (DAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $494.6M, operating cash flow of $644.8M, and free cash flow of $644.8M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAC closed FY2025 with $5.11B in total assets against $872.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$494.6M	$644.8M	$644.8M	$5.11B	$872.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.01B	$505.1M	$621.8M	$621.8M	$4.34B	$699.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$973.6M	$576.3M	$576.3M	$576.3M	—	—

3. DAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $158.86 (+0.05% 1D, market cap $2.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAC compare to SBLK and CDLR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.22B) and CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?

Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAC last traded at $158.86 (+0.05% on volume of 90,604 shares), positioning the stock +0.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($157.75) and +21.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($130.70). Across its 52-week range of $89.07 to $172.76, DAC sits at the 83.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($151.08 to $166.64).

DAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DAC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Danaos Corporation (DAC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DAC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.9% event move for DAC, spanning a range between $151.08 and $166.64.

Direct Sub-Reports: DAC RQD Cockpit DAC 12M Forecast DAC Earnings & Move DAC Dividends & DRIP DAC Insiders & 13F DAC Whale Options DAC Profit Sankey DAC News & Why