MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CYPH Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.31 +2.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.32
Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (CYPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $356.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.32 (+0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CYPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CYPH SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (30% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 77% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.94-12.6% Next Q
32
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.57+9.7% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.82+17.4% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade D-$3.31-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CYPH Turnaround Squeeze
While CYPH currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.74) and Max Pain ($3.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.40.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CYPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CYPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CYPH Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (CYPH) surged +2.16% to $3.31, trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($0.39 – $4.19). Stretched risk/reward at 71x P/E (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($0.39 – $4.19) with RSI-14 at 51 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.31 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CYPH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CYPH)
- ✓Walkthrough of CYPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CYPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +271.91%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.96H $3.31L $2.75C $3.31VOL 14.27M
RES: $4.93SUP: $0.77SMA50: $2.74SMA200: $1.28
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CYPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
46.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CYPH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CYPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CYPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CYPH)
Health Care Rank #638 of 1016
⚔️ GALT vs CYPH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CYPH vs. GALT, CTNM, SPRY, RLMD)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (CYPH) ranks #638 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #498 by equity capitalization ($356.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYPH leads on earnings valuation at 71.3x trailing P/E, while CYPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RLMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with CYPH at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CYPH
ACTIVE
Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. | D- | 40/100 | 71.3x | — | -23.3% | +2.16% | $356.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| GALT Galectin Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.56% | $355.8M | /galt-vs-cyph → |
| CTNM Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -29.0% | +1.97% | $351.0M | /ctnm-vs-cyph → |
| SPRY ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.27% | $364.0M | /spry-vs-cyph → |
| RLMD Relmada Therapeutics Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.69% | $366.9M | /rlmd-vs-cyph → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001509745In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (CYPH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $5.0M, operating cash flow of -$43.9M, and free cash flow of -$43.9M (+27.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CYPH closed FY2025 with $163.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $5.0M | -$43.9M | -$43.9M | $163.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$68.0M | -$60.3M | -$60.3M | $49.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$81.0M | -$43.8M | -$43.8M | — | — |
3. CYPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CYPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: CYPH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.31 (+2.16% 1D, market cap $356.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CYPH ranks #638 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CYPH compare to GALT and CTNM in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CYPH carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 71.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.3%. By comparison, GALT (Galectin Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $355.8M) and CTNM (Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.0%, cap $351.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYPH leads on earnings multiple (71.3x) while CYPH leads on capital efficiency (-23.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CYPH?
Per CYPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001509745), Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $5.0M in net income, and -$43.9M in free cash flow against $163.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CYPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CYPH last traded at $3.31 (+2.16% on volume of 18,780,567 shares), positioning the stock +20.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.74) and +158.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.28). Across its 52-week range of $0.39 to $4.19, CYPH sits at the 76.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.90 to $3.72).
CYPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CYPH stock moving today?
Why CYPH Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 71x P/E (-23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.