Stock Ratings / Technology / CVV / options

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CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.04 -2.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.01

CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $28.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.01 (-0.62%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CVV SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.18-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.87-2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.79+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.04-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CVV currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.95) and Max Pain ($4.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVV• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CVV Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±10.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CVV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CVV.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVV)

✓Walkthrough of CVV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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CVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $3.98H $4.06L $3.80C $4.04VOL 105.2K

RES: $9.67SUP: $2.89SMA50: $4.95SMA200: $5.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CVV Butterfly Map → + Track CVV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVV)

Technology Rank #633 of 714 ⚔️ NSYS vs CVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CVV vs. NSYS, MVIS, ZOOZ, TRT)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV) ranks #633 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #596 by equity capitalization ($28.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVV leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSYS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. NSYS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with CVV at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CVV ACTIVE CVD Equipment Corporation	E	34/100	—	28.3%	-9.4%	-2.41%	$28.1M	Benchmark Subject
NSYS Nortech Systems Incorporated	D	49/100	—	15.2%	2.3%	-2.67%	$31.2M	/nsys-vs-cvv →
MVIS MicroVision Inc.	D-	43/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	+10.77%	$43.4M	/mvis-vs-cvv →
ZOOZ ZOOZ Strategy Ltd.	E	31/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-7.53%	$48.2M	/zooz-vs-cvv →
TRT Trio-Tech International	E	33/100	—	25.1%	1.0%	-0.18%	$57.3M	/trt-vs-cvv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000766792

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV) reported GAAP revenue of $25.8M (-4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $26.9M , and +7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.6M, operating cash flow of -$3.7M, and free cash flow of -$3.7M (-133.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVV closed FY2025 with $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.07, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$25.8M	-$1.6M	-$3.7M	-$3.7M	$27.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$26.9M	-$1.9M	-$1.5M	-$1.6M	$31.7M	$181.0K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$24.1M	-$4.2M	-$206.0K	-$206.0K	—	—

3. CVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CVD Equipment Corporation (NASDAQ: CVV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $4.04 (-2.41% 1D, market cap $28.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CVV ranks #633 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVV compare to NSYS and MVIS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CVV carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.3%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, NSYS (Nortech Systems Incorporated) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $31.2M) and MVIS (MicroVision Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVV leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSYS leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVV?

Per CVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000766792), CVD Equipment Corporation generated $25.8M in revenue (-4.1% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and -$3.7M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVV last traded at $4.04 (-2.41% on volume of 59,083 shares), positioning the stock -18.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.95) and -27.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.96 to $9.10, CVV sits at the 17.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($3.60 to $4.48).