Stock Ratings / Industrials / CVR / earnings

TURB (53) EPOW (27) DETX (62) FLUX (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$10.90 +8.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.04

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $10.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.04 (+1.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CVR SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.22 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.20+0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.28-6.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$10.50+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$10.90-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CVR currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.43) and Max Pain ($11.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CVR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$1.05 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CVR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.3%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$27.9M	-$1.1M	-$1.2M	14.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$27.0M	-$5.6M	-$804.8K	3.9%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$31.5M	-$4.4M	-$1.9M	14.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVR)

✓Walkthrough of CVR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CVR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $11.40H $11.50L $10.90C $10.90VOL 1.9K

RES: $12.28SUP: $9.59SMA50: $10.43SMA200: $11.18

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CVR Butterfly Map → + Track CVR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVR)

Industrials Rank #370 of 485 ⚔️ TURB vs CVR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CVR vs. TURB, EPOW, DETX, FLUX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) ranks #370 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #450 by equity capitalization ($10.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.5% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. DETX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with CVR at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CVR ACTIVE Chicago Rivet & Machine Co.	D-	41/100	—	14.8%	-5.5%	+8.35%	$10.5M	Benchmark Subject
TURB Turbo Energy S.A.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-1.45%	$11.1M	/turb-vs-cvr →
EPOW E-Power Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	-12.6%	-35.0%	-3.23%	$11.2M	/epow-vs-cvr →
DETX Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd.	C	62/100	—	—	—	+7.89%	$9.8M	/detx-vs-cvr →
FLUX Flux Power Holdings Inc.	E	32/100	—	32.7%	-35.0%	-4.11%	$9.5M	/flux-vs-cvr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000019871

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) reported GAAP revenue of $27.9M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $27.0M , and -11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.1M, operating cash flow of -$1.2M, and free cash flow of -$1.2M (-52.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVR closed FY2025 with $23.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.22, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$27.9M	-$1.1M	-$1.2M	-$1.2M	$23.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$27.0M	-$5.6M	-$153.5K	-$804.8K	$23.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$31.5M	-$4.4M	-$1.9M	-$1.9M	—	—

3. CVR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (NYSE: CVR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $10.90 (+8.35% 1D, market cap $10.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CVR ranks #370 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVR compare to TURB and EPOW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CVR carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.8%, and ROIC of -5.5%. By comparison, TURB (Turbo Energy S.A.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $11.1M) and EPOW (E-Power Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVR leads on capital efficiency (-5.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVR?

Per CVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000019871), Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. generated $27.9M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $23.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVR last traded at $10.90 (+8.35% on volume of 3,678 shares), positioning the stock +4.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.43) and -2.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.18). Across its 52-week range of $8.50 to $15.00, CVR sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($9.85 to $11.95).

CVR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CVR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CVR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.6% event move for CVR, spanning a range between $9.85 and $11.95.

Direct Sub-Reports: CVR RQD Cockpit CVR 12M Forecast CVR Earnings & Move CVR Dividends & DRIP CVR Insiders & 13F CVR Whale Options CVR Profit Sankey CVR News & Why