Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) (CTNM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.33 +1.97% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.35

Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) (CTNM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $351.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.34 (+0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$19 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CTNM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTNM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CTNM SCORES 40/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 24% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$13.38-47.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$7.08+17.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$8.31+12.3% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$9.33-7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (48) β†’ D- (40)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTNM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CTNM currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.70) and Max Pain ($9.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.68.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTNMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCTNM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CTNM)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CTNM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTNM)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CTNM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CTNM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.22%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.14H $9.58L $8.93C $9.33VOL 458.6K
RES: $18.54SUP: $5.80SMA50: $12.70SMA200: $13.55
$18.55$15.35$12.14$8.93$5.72RES $18.54SUP $5.80$9.332026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTNM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTNM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTNM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTNM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTNM)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CTNM vs. GALT, AVIR, CYPH, ARCT)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) (CTNM) ranks #639 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #501 by equity capitalization ($351.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYPH leads on earnings valuation at 71.3x trailing P/E, while CYPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. GALT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 42/100 (D-) compared with CTNM at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CTNM ACTIVE
Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -29.0% +1.97% $351.0M Benchmark Subject
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.56% $355.8M /galt-vs-ctnm β†’
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.94% $345.7M /avir-vs-ctnm β†’
CYPH
Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.
D- 40/100 71.3x β€” -23.3% +2.16% $356.7M /cyph-vs-ctnm β†’
ARCT
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.66% $345.3M /arct-vs-ctnm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001855175

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) (CTNM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.0M, operating cash flow of -$55.3M, and free cash flow of -$55.5M (-66.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTNM closed FY2025 with $276.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$60.0M -$55.3M -$55.5M $276.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$42.3M -$32.8M -$33.4M $212.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $50.0M $22.7M $19.3M $19.3M β€” β€”

3. CTNM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTNM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CTNM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $9.33 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $351.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CTNM ranks #639 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTNM compare to GALT and AVIR in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CTNM carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, GALT (Galectin Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $355.8M) and AVIR (Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYPH leads on earnings multiple (71.3x) while CYPH leads on capital efficiency (-23.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTNM?

Per CTNM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001855175), Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$60.0M in net income, and -$55.5M in free cash flow against $276.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTNM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTNM last traded at $9.33 (+1.97% on volume of 566,935 shares), positioning the stock -26.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.70) and -31.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.55). Across its 52-week range of $6.73 to $17.79, CTNM sits at the 23.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($8.16 to $10.50).

CTNM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CTNM's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CTNM.

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