Carriage Services Inc. (CSV) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$35.44 -2.74% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.20

Carriage Services Inc. (CSV) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $562.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.20 (-0.68%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (9)Macro (18)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$55 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CSV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CSV SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 24% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$33.69+7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$36.20-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$35.41+0.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$35.44+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, CSV faces multiple-compression risk if 10.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 32.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.59) or 200D SMA ($40.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.40) toward Bear Floor ($28.39).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCSV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How CSV Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$40.1M (9.6% FCF Margin)
Revenue$417.4MGross Profit $146.7M (35.1%)Cost of Sales $270.8MOp Profit $97.7M (23.4%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $49.0MNet Profit$51.5M (12.3%)Tax/Other $46.1M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $382.5M
FY24
Rev $404.2M
FY25
Rev $417.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$417.4M35.1%23.4%$51.5M$40.1M29.8%
FY 2024$404.2M35.5%20.2%$33.0M$35.9M30.4%
FY 2023$382.5M35.1%21.2%$33.4M$75.6M29.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CSV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CSV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CSV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.82%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $35.43H $36.04L $34.58C $35.44VOL 174.8K
RES: $36.86SUP: $26.71SMA50: $33.59SMA200: $40.10
$51.32$45.57$39.82$34.07$28.33RES $36.86SUP $26.71$35.442026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #306 of 1011 βš”οΈ EVH vs CSV Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CSV vs. EVH, BLW, YELP, EVI)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carriage Services Inc. (CSV) ranks #306 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #574 by equity capitalization ($562.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YELP leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while CSV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 35.1% gross margin. YELP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CSV at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CSV ACTIVE
Carriage Services Inc.
C 64/100 10.9x 35.1% 29.8% -2.74% $562.9M Benchmark Subject
EVH
Evolent Health Inc (Class A)
D- 35/100 β€” 21.3% -26.3% -1.85% $480.5M /evh-vs-csv β†’
BLW
Blackrock Limited Duration Income Trust
D+ 52/100 β€” β€” β€” +0.78% $415.0M /blw-vs-csv β†’
YELP
Yelp Inc.
B 75/100 7.1x β€” 29.5% +2.93% $1.03B /yelp-vs-csv β†’
EVI
EVI Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 37.3x 30.4% 5.4% +1.26% $279.7M /evi-vs-csv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001016281

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Carriage Services Inc. (CSV) reported GAAP revenue of $417.4M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $404.2M , and +9.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.5M, operating cash flow of $60.7M, and free cash flow of $40.1M (+11.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSV closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $5.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.16, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $417.4M $51.5M $60.7M $40.1M $1.35B $5.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $404.2M $33.0M $52.0M $35.9M $1.28B $4.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $382.5M $33.4M $75.6M $75.6M β€” β€”

3. CSV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Carriage Services Inc. (NYSE: CSV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $35.44 (-2.74% 1D, market cap $562.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CSV ranks #306 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CSV compare to EVH and BLW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), CSV carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of 29.8%. By comparison, EVH (Evolent Health Inc (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.3%, cap $480.5M) and BLW (Blackrock Limited Duration Income Trust) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $415.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YELP leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while CSV leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSV?

Per CSV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001016281), Carriage Services Inc. generated $417.4M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $51.5M in net income, and $40.1M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $5.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CSV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSV last traded at $35.44 (-2.74% on volume of 308,854 shares), positioning the stock +5.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.59) and -11.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.10). Across its 52-week range of $30.11 to $52.10, CSV sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.0% ($32.60 to $38.28).

CSV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Carriage Services Inc. (CSV)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CSV converted $417.4M of revenue into a 35.1% gross margin, 23.4% operating margin, and $40.1M in free cash flow (9.6% FCF margin).

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